GP Race 3

[billk5300s]

I\'m somewhat puzzled regarding race 3 at Gulfstream.  Move Over is very fast but has never gone a mile and is not bred for routes.  Run In Aruba drew inside and shows marked improvement on dirt.  Trainer does well moving synth to dirt.  I doubt that Move Over will get things his own way and the trainer is only average going sprint to route.  I don\'t see the value in playing Move Over and think this may be a good spot to take a shot and possibly toss Move Over.  Am I missing anything obvious other than his fast sprint numbers which may or may not hold true for a route?

[billk5300s]

Move Over circled the field so this shows why I shouldn\'t quit my day job!!!

[dodie]

Billk
  I understand your frustration.  Many times, I will read the t-graph analysis, and they will just focus in on a horse\'s number, no matter what surface or condition and no matter what today\'s racing condition is, IF THE PRICE IS RIGHT.  I think the opposite holds.  If a horse has a number, and is a short price, maybe it\'s right to just pass the race, no matter how incongruous to the conditions the number may be.  My rule:  If I\'m going to have faith in t-graph, have faith in the number.