J.K Desormeaux SA Paddock Comments

[TheBull]

Yeah that is a little much, although having him ranked 20th like Haskin is even more absurd....Backers of DC have to hope Mike Smith doesnt ultra freak him early like he did with another son of Curlin a few years back. But in a race without a ton of absolutely need the lead types, I could see DC leading them a very long way. At juicy odds, you could do worse in this race.

[Tavasco]

Maybe I\'m splitting hairs, but I\'ve convinced myself that Danzing Candy wants a clear lead, an open length or two. Not comfortable running alongside another horse.

Outwork has had success running on the shoulder of another as in the Wood.

Nyquist appears completely comfortable running with other horses and forcing them to run faster than they want too.

What on one hand could be a reasonably paced phalanx hard to get by  like the Californians from last year, could instead, be a trio that beat themselves with DC looking to be the most vulnerable.

Certainly they wouldn\'t leave him alone would they?

[ringato3]

Tavasco,

So what if he wants a clear lead.  He gets it in this race if he breaks clean.

You want to have a knock or two on a 20-1 shot.  Sure, he wants a clear lead, but there is also a good chance he gets it.

Outwork will be fine stalking.  As will Nyquist.

Would have to be moronic jockey decisions to have a duel up front with 1 clear speed, 2 clear stalkers and 17 horses comfortable midpack or further back.

Would not be betting on a melt here.

Rob

[Tavasco]

Rob:

I agree completely.

I have little confidence in Gutierrez but his need to run wide on turns unlikely to hamper DC.

Assuming no morons up in May. Letting DC run free on the lead a ?? strategy. Outwork did contest a quick one @ Aque in seemingly foolish early fractions?

So not brilliant to run with him and not brilliant to let him go. Yet as you point out the price is great for now.

[boardedup]

I kind of feel the same way in regards to Nyquist/DC-don\'t want to run with him-don\'t want to let him loose, though I think it comes down to the latter.  

I\'m now convinced that DC gets an easy lead.  If as some suggest Outwork sits off, I think it\'ll be off of Nyquist or vice versa and DC takes them around.  I originally felt like Outwork would contest for the lead but I\'ve been \"shown the light\" so to say.  


What if DC simply didn\'t like the El Nino induced muck?  That was his first time ever going in the slop.  Before that he paired his two year top first out and then had a nice move forward that put him right there with these.

Knowing what we know now, would it be reasonable to say O\'Neil and company shipped to Fl more in an effort to find a softer spot than anything else?

  Obviously a potential extra Million didn\'t hurt either, but I have to think they already knew their toughest competition was sitting right in their backyard.    

 A salty field, with a potential tough race shape, going against not one, not two, but three rivals that ran faster than him their last time out at that point...

[big18741]

Don\'t know if DC is capable of a San Felipe repeat but in this years field a ground saving 1 could be really good.

Outwork sat 4 lengths off two sprinter workmates yesterday and cruised past them.

I don\'t get the feeling after DC ran off in the SA Derby that anybody wants to go with him early here.

Now DC might meltdown again and run off in which case the early pace will be really fast but he could also get away with 23 and change,46 and change,1:11 and change under control.

Think I\'ll have a set of tickets with him keyed just in case.