Author Topic: Pletcher on Turf  (Read 1751 times)

Tavasco

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Re: Bollywood?
« Reply #15 on: November 03, 2016, 10:17:24 PM »
Thanks for adding in.

While both Bafferts offer attractive odds it may not be apparent to all which is the lesser.  The severe underachiever or the lightly raced colt.

Both A list owners who IMO would love a winner to start the weekend? There are some fast sprinters in the race that will take some beating.

I guess I\'ll sleep on it.

P-Dub

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Re: Bollywood?
« Reply #16 on: November 04, 2016, 01:41:48 AM »
#4 Forest Blue looks pretty good, but can\'t take too short a price on a horse that just doesn\'t seem to win.

Solid number power, toss the last down the hill. Lots of 2nd/3rd finishes, and he will probably get bet.

#5 Blameitonthelaw has a nice pattern and the last one very competitive, pairing his fast debut number.  There should be a decent pace in here, this one can stalk and take over down the stretch. 5/1 ML and I think he may go longer than that.

Win bet on #5 (If he isn\'t overbet). #4 will be keyed underneath.

As for constructing exotics, several of these run similar numbers. Will look for those with a running style that isn\'t early. The #3 and the #10 will be played underneath. #10 Tough It Out is a 3YO with a nice pattern, I\'ll forgive the last route where he started poorly. Lots of routes and he\'s cutting back to 7F. If the #4 and #5 are overbet I can see a win bet on this one. There\'s a few more that can be added but these 2 are nice prices, have decent numbers, and a good running style for the race shape.
P-Dub

toppled

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Re: Bollywood?
« Reply #17 on: November 04, 2016, 10:00:53 AM »
I like #9 Westbrook a lot in here.  Moving back into a sprint off a 3.5 month layoff, blinkers on, switch from Pereira to Prat. The last time he ran fresh was as a FTS and he beat 2 subsequent stakes winners including Travers hero Arrogate. He\'s not the fastest going in, but should run a 3-4 point new top that gets the job done.  
Boxing in exactas with 4,5 & 8 and keying over them in tris.