Form Ratings

[TGJB]

We got a huge response to the Form Ratings free samples (couple hundred emails). A lot of the questions were redundant, so let\'s get them on this string. For starters, patterns are not considered, it\'s strictly a mechanical formula using recent figures.

[TGJB]

We\'re putting one track a day up free on the site for Fri, Sat and Sunday.

[jalt2]

Any idea on the free track for Saturday? Not wanting to duplicate a purchase of the form ratings off equibase.

Thanks

[TGJB]

Aqu Friday, GP Saturday, SA Sunday.

Really impressed by the number and thoughtfulness of the responses, which are still coming in.

[jalt2]

Not to mention that the results yesterday on the 3 complimentary tracks was quite nice!

[Niall]

In the 3rd at Aqueduct # 4 Chorus Line was an obvious play based on the ratings, good for an almost $40 Exacta. Not easy to do in a 5 horse field!

[Niall]

Same with the #3 Risetotheoccasion in the 7th. Highest rated goes off at 17-1 and completes the exacta with the 2nd highest rated winning. $87

Looks promising JB

[Boscar Obarra]

Just for completeness,  the 8th had the 1/2 finishers GAPPED by 9 lbs, for a 54.50 exacta.

[Niall]

9 lbs gap? I see 4

[Boscar Obarra]

As I stated

 103
 99
 90

9 lbs of gap to the third horse, which is the same as saying 9 lbs of gap for the top 2.

[Tavasco]

In the above referenced race, horse #4 Exclusive Strike is beginning its 10th year. The horse has been sliding down the claiming ladder for a couple of years with sort of a marauder\'s 2016 campaign.

While its logical that the gelding\'s value would be declining a TG analysis of the race would consider age and campaign if only slightly.

So I begin to wonder is Form Rating just math, or just Human intelligence making meaning of data or a hybrid.

The horse has an 11 lb advantage in the form rating which I suspect relates back to some previously better performances than will be needed today.



Oops I should have read the introduction first and then contemplated it before expressing my curiosity.

[TGJB]

Again-- it\'s strictly mechanical. The judgement came only in making the figures and the formula. It\'s not handicapping, it\'s strictly a general power rating based on recent form. If there was handicapping involved it wouldn\'t be a $10 product.

[Tavasco]

Thanks!

[TGJB]

So as those who took today\'s freebie know, the top rated horses at SA are doing pretty well so far-- 8 races, 6 won by the top rated horse, including at least two which were not the favorite. One of the remaining two races was won by a first time starter, who of course did not have a rating.

We\'re going to start selling these things later this week.

[Niall]

I\'m going to be using the Form ratings (& DRF PP\'s) tomorrow at Gulfstream. At first glance, there are one or 2 that I wasnt going to play but now must, and at least a few that I had considered using but will not. Unless of course I expand my bankroll early in the card...

On another note, NYRABETS and XPressBet are running promotions that refund your money on a win bet if your horse runs 2nd and in the case of Xpressbet, 2nd or third. Granted its not a lot of $$ (capped at $25) but it does let me go a little deeper. That said, any thoughts on the best way to play? Maybe go lighter in the p4 on secondary tickets?

Good luck all!