The race shape does not favour Chrome being able to pull a Big Brown and get over - he\'s likely to lose lots of ground. Arrogate\'s training has been disrupted and while he got the works in, the wet may have contributed to the abscess that, admittedly, at this point is a very minor deal but...with the pressure on who knows if that doesn\'t cause him an issue tomorrow - in some video last few weeks of him just walking (not jogging or galloping) it does seem like he was slightly not quite perfect.
I would not want to take +150 on either of them, let alone what they likely will be (shorter than that).
I like Keen Ice, especially at the 25\'s or 33\'s he\'s available at this very second across the board off shore. Again, race shape looks like he should be able to get to no worse than 2 path (Shaman Ghost just inside him probably) by the first turn as everyone else ought to clear. If Javy just stays there, with his recovery line, it does look like he\'s ready to get back to his isolated top, or even, as a 5yo (2.50 pt sire grow) exceed it. He also ran the second best number of his career in this very race at this time last year. Both the clockers and Pletcher himself have been talking up how well he\'s going, TAP notably more exuberant (to my ear) in his comments on this one than on Neo, tho that one\'s pattern looks good too.
Basically, for a change, we\'re having a big race not on the west coast where a certain trainer does not fare well, but in his very own back yard. I think we see the difference location makes on Saturday.
