When I\'m alive to decent future bet I usually offer to cut someone in for a fair price, usually someone who also can reciprocate worthwhile info somewhere else down the line. That way you are both eliminating risk, guaranteeing a profit AND doing someone a favor that could pay dividends.
Dunno what to do with IWC in 4 weeks. Trainer won with Animal Kingdom a few years ago, but this is a much different type of colt who already reacted once to a 2 1/2 point new top. I note that the trainer gave him 3 weeks off before his next work after the Dec 31st win, then 2 works before his win in the Holy Bull. Then another 3 weeks off, one work and the bounce in the FOY. Then another 3 weeks off, 2 works and the forward move yesterday.
3 weeks between a race and next work is long time. My guess is racing takes a lot out of this colt. If the 2 point move to top of 1ish set him back, what is 3 or so point move to a big negative number for a 3 year old likely to do? Off 4 weeks rest?
My best guess is typically I would read IWC sheet as \"next race the bounce is coming again\" unless I have strong evidence to the contrary.
With Animal Kingdom there was some question about how he would handle dirt so we got to see a strong 6F work at Churchill before the Derby that was lights out. We probably don\'t get to see if this colt can do that. The plan as I understand it is to take IWC back to Fair Hill and ship in last week to Churchill. He already has a history of light training between races so we aren\'t likely to learn a thing.
Going to be a tough read.
