Author Topic: What's your birth sign?  (Read 1524 times)

johnnym

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What's your birth sign?
« on: April 13, 2017, 03:22:57 PM »
Since 1966-2015
35% of Derby winners were born in January
23% in February
22% in March
13% in April
8% in May
The last 2 Derby winners Nyquist March and AP Feb

jbelfior

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Re: What's your birth sign?
« Reply #1 on: April 13, 2017, 03:45:03 PM »
Conclusion?  More horses are born before April 1st?

Good Luck,
Joe B

johnnym

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Re: What's your birth sign?
« Reply #2 on: April 13, 2017, 04:05:34 PM »
IWC is a May colt.

TheBull

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Re: What's your birth sign?
« Reply #3 on: April 13, 2017, 06:31:38 PM »
McKracken is an April foal too, I believe

Molesap

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Re: What's your birth sign?
« Reply #4 on: April 14, 2017, 12:32:15 AM »
I have similar data for a slightly different time period (which of course makes sense) with accompanying data on the percentage of thoroughbreds born in each month on average from 1975-2015. It seems there may be a maturity advantage with earlier born horses as over 50% of the winners of the Kentucky Derby have been born in January and February, but only about 20% of thoroughbreds overall were born in those two months. Here is the data:

34% of Derby winners were born in January (7% of thoroughbreds born in that month)
24% of Derby winners were born in February (14% of thoroughbreds born in that month)
22% of Derby winners were born in March (27% of thoroughbreds born in that month)
12% of Derby winners were born in April (31% of thoroughbreds born in that month)
8% of Derby winners were born in May (17% of thoroughbreds born in that month)
*Note the remaining 3% or so of thoroughbreds in general are born after May

johnnym

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Re: What's your birth sign?
« Reply #5 on: April 14, 2017, 11:54:35 AM »
The Maturity angle was my thought on this since I do like IWC.

atakante

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Re: What's your birth sign?
« Reply #6 on: April 14, 2017, 04:46:30 PM »
FWIW, Mohaymen last year was also a May foal.