Practical Joke

[sekrah]

Nothing can be drawn from a 22 horse sample size.  Nothing.

[Furious Pete]

Yes, so maybe not \"...and then some\". But surely the takeout is factored in already?

[Furious Pete]

http://www.arlingtonpark.com/node/10222 A nice little read to confirm how it works.

[jbelfior]

Is Sportsbook still offering 20-1 on Cloud Computing?

In other matters, tough draw for the Godolphin horse who will be racing on Lasix. Interested to here TGJB\'s thoughts on that.


Good Luck,
Joe B.

[Molesap]

I believe in order to make a proper morning line, you add the take out of the win pool to 100% and then add the number of horses to that to get the base percentage.  So starting at 100 and adding the 17.5% to account for the takeout at CD, then add 20 to account for the number of horses, 138% should be spot on.

[Wrongly]

FYI, in the bris PP\'s they list Thunder Snow as first time lasix.

[phil23]

His draw is a tragedy, much like Battaglia\'s morning line.

They should hire Fairmount - his was exceptional, especially the ordinal rankings from horse to horse.

[jbrown007]

I think Fairmount had a really solid M/L prediction. Battaglia must be drinking the McCracken KoolAid

[P-Dub]

Just be thankful he isn\'t calling races there. Truly one of the worst of all time.

I wish PJ wasn\'t all the way out there, but horses win from the auxiliary. He\'s a major player for me despite the post.

[fasteddie]

Always Dreaming hurt most by the draw; will be sent earlier than normal. IWC is fine, and PJ got the draw I wanted. McC will get overbet, and PJ will be a nice price!

[Tavasco]

Could be. Especially if it turns out he doesn\'t like running inside of other horses. If memory serves he did run (Canter) in some traffic during one of the GP ALW races.

[jerry]

Fair enough. I think it is safe to say though that the pattern of two 3yo. preps and paired tops can yield almost anything.

[johnnym]

Agree;what does Johnny V do with a colt onthe inside that has been head strong all week?
I think PJ draw is bad, a colt who is distance challenged to the extent that trainer toyed with blinkers.
Now he is in post 19 for sure going wide yes his sheet sure is pretty.
IWC & CE benefited from the post.
Good Luck

[Furious Pete]

I don\'t think the draw hurt his win chances, it looks like he could win this with a pairing of his last now. He doesn\'t exactly need to be Big Brown.. However, his chances for finishing way off have probably increased, too.

[boardedup]

I think AD goes to the lead or at a minimum presses it.  I saw a pace projection that had him in the third flight of horses?  I absolutely don\'t see that happening at all. Thoughts?