Author Topic: Jason Servis...HOLY COW!  (Read 2488 times)

APny

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Jason Servis...HOLY COW!
« on: July 03, 2018, 08:51:23 AM »
So he’s now a 50% trainer.  I know...he’s placing them well...lol.
Not really though...CeeBeeGeeBee a perfect example in Monmouth’s 8th on 7/4.  A 7 point top off a layoff....SURE!!!!

Sheets are useless if guys are getting huge tops that you could never forecast.

bobphilo

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Re: Jason Servis...HOLY COW!
« Reply #1 on: July 03, 2018, 10:12:30 AM »
It\'s rather harsh to call something \"useless\" because there are exceptions to it\'s predictive effectiveness, no matter how extreme these exceptions are.

Boscar Obarra

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Re: Jason Servis...HOLY COW!
« Reply #2 on: July 03, 2018, 08:37:16 PM »
Why is it useless.

It\'s telling you what\'s going on.

Molesap

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Re: Jason Servis...HOLY COW!
« Reply #3 on: July 04, 2018, 01:45:19 PM »
Servis had three today at Mth:

I Idolize You - Race 3 - Claiming $7,500 (won at $10.80)

All Flatter - Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight (won at $6.20)

Cee Bee Gee Bee - Race 8 - Jersey Girl H. (out)

He is now 34-19-4-5 at Mth this meet.

Al Caught Up

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Re: Jason Servis...HOLY COW!
« Reply #4 on: July 04, 2018, 05:53:49 PM »
I Idolize You looked like one of the worst horses in the race and he won by a pole.

Dana666

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Re: Jason Servis...HOLY COW!
« Reply #5 on: July 04, 2018, 07:50:00 PM »
I grew up at Monmouth Park. I used to love it. Now it\'s the worst track in the country regarding the integrity aspect. They have sports betting now. You\'ve probably got a better shot there. Do they even make any pretense about testing horses there for anything? The whole thing is a joke. The funniest thing I heard lately is one of the morons on TVG said Navarro should get a private training job in Dubai where he does so well--yeah, where they use no drugs whatsoever. That\'s a good one. I\'ll leave you all with one last absurdity. Mott got a suspension for some positive test 4 years ago. He\'s been fighting it. Mott, the original hay and oats trainer, gets a suspension while all the pirates roam free.

toppled

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Re: Jason Servis...HOLY COW!
« Reply #6 on: July 05, 2018, 10:32:38 PM »
Servis with a smile.

bfick

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Re: Jason Servis...HOLY COW!
« Reply #7 on: July 07, 2018, 03:47:36 PM »
FF goes from 6-1 to 5-2 in a flash and romps. I can\'t wait to see what happens with the 3 horse in the next race.

shager

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Re: Jason Servis...HOLY COW!
« Reply #8 on: July 07, 2018, 04:10:52 PM »
7-1  with a minute to post

jbelfior

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Re: Jason Servis...HOLY COW!
« Reply #9 on: July 07, 2018, 06:48:29 PM »
Double whammy-this happens and it involves a juice trainer. Exacta with the Romans horse (16-1 minutes before post) comes back $25 for a buck with a 3-5 shot out of it.

Great stuff.


Good Luck,
Joe B

Boscar Obarra

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Re: Jason Servis...HOLY COW!
« Reply #10 on: July 07, 2018, 09:02:07 PM »
except it was a 3/2 shot not 3/5 .  Did you think it was really a 3/5 shot, based on what ?

JR

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Re: Jason Servis...HOLY COW!
« Reply #11 on: July 08, 2018, 06:46:16 AM »
I stear clear of anything New Jersey with New York running a close second. It is sad to see NYRA, once the pinnacle of integrity, succumb to the pressures of the industry. It’s now all about handle. Who’s money and why is immaterial.
JR

BitPlayer

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Re: Late odds changes in Dwyer
« Reply #12 on: July 08, 2018, 08:34:27 AM »
The replays on nyra.com often pick up well before the horses enter the gate.  In this case, we can see that Firenze Fire was 6-1 and Seven Trumpets drifted from 14-1 to 15-1 as they were circling behind the gate.  In the first flash after the gates opened, Firenze Fire had dropped to 5-1 and Seven Trumpets had dropped to 12-1.  By the time they hit the 6f pole, they were 5-2 and 10-1, respectively.  Based on a couple of sets of DD probables from the prior race, I guessed Firenze Fire would be 3.8-1 and Seven Trumpets would be 8.5-1.

I wonder if the batch bettors underestimated the amount of late money that would come in on Firenze Fire.

Silver Charm

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Re: Late odds changes in Dwyer
« Reply #13 on: July 08, 2018, 08:45:12 AM »
I zaw some other Double Pools looking low with straight bet odds looking high. Perhaps those in the know bet early differently. This FF bet had to be electronic. Too much at once that late. Wouldnt hurt to check those time stamps now amd then....

BitPlayer

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Re: Late odds changes in Dwyer
« Reply #14 on: July 08, 2018, 09:23:59 AM »
Andy Serling does a nice job on the NYRA feed of looking at the doubles and warning people to expect odds shifts.