Opening Day

[Ace]

It\'s the traditional day after Christmas opening day tomorrow. Thanks for the free data, I\'m going to be there in person to get that awesome calendar.

In the 7th race I am partial to the #8 Fight On.  He just might have a forward move in him. I\'ll protect with the heavy favorite River Boyne and will include Combatant who has sure earned a lot of money with only a maiden win. Merry Christmas to all.

[skitimber]

That would have to be some forward move, but good luck.  And in the 9th, Axelrod?  Another negative or the X in an 0, 2 (1&3/4) X??  At 10-1, I think I\'ll find out.

[Ace]

Nero is my bet in the Malibu. I actually had a Ky Derby Future bet on him in Vegas at 100-1 based on a good performance in the San Vincente, but he got pushed aside for Justify, just like McKenzie did. I might get 10-1 tomorrow.

[Silver Charm]

I dont trust PARX negative #\'s someplace else. I\'m not saying the # is incorrect just the ability to repeat elsewhere. He is a price.

[Fairmount1]

Silver,

Excellent point.  

So the fastest TG numbers in the race are from:

McKinzie, Parx.
Axelrod, Parx.
Axelrod, Parx.
Still Having Fun.  Belmont.
Kanthaka, SA.  

Must be that horses really like the track surface at Parx.  (Note, I too am not doubting the numbers....just pointing out that anyone with half a brain can figure out that there is likely a reason the fastest numbers are at Parx.  Anyone who doesn\'t think we need uniform rules is a clueless clown to borrow a term a former poster was apt to use).  

I\'ll take the Baffert that ran 1\'s at routes when I never thought he was a router in the first place.  

Long layoff and ran well first out and off another break.  This time he is First time gelding as TG prominently notes.  I\'ll take a longer Baffert price than heavily favored McKinzie as the one to play here but confidence level low.  Just making a pick in a race where there was a bigger point to be made.  Ax Man with Baffert magic for me.

[jbelfior]

Happy Holidays to all:

Ax Man-Nero-Kanthaka.


Good Luck,
Joe B.

[big18741]

Looking at Nero to move forward here off the easy pair up prep.

Trying to figure out the pace but it doesn\'t seem crazy fast so Talamo should be right on it or stalking.

[grinder]

Point taken about performance figures earned at Parx. However, the last out figure earned by Axelrod (which was not run at Parx) is still faster than any figures run by the aforementioned runner. And as he will be a better price, I will be keying him. Good Luck.

[Tavasco]

With a couple of minutes to post only Dabster & Gift Box price not beaten down by the crowd. Gift box @5/1 with BOM worth a try.

[skitimber]

Nice call on Gift Box.

Decided against Axelrod in the next simply because of the  0 2 X possibility.

Still having Fun interesting across the board at 20-1 or even over 10-1.  My suspicion, the exacts and trifecta here will be decent.

Good luck to all.

[skitimber]

Nero and Still having fun, each across the board and in exotics.

[Tavasco]

Mike Smith from post 13 seems to be not much of a concern for opening day crowd. The breeders cup classic even less. It was cuppy and 1+1/4 they insist. Makes the race very interesting.

[Tavasco]

Geez - Smart crowd!