Vekoma as a bomb?

[rezlegal]

Am curious as to Board’s view. He ran a 4 his first time out for Weaver who is average with FTS. The 4 is faster than any horse in field ran as a 2 year old. In his second start he ran a zero. No one else in field ran a zero as a 2 year old. He has paired 2s as a 3 year old. Does not sheet dogma strongly suggest he could, at least,in third off lay-off, pair up or exceed his 2 year old top on first Saturday in May? Need to include on tickets at odds of likely 20-1. I read what I read about his “action” and while he visually looked good winning the BG at Keeneland his final 3/8 was nothing to get excited about.Have not looked at dam side pedigree yet, But as a 3 year old developmental pattern, I need to take good look at him as a bomb. Comments?

[dglass2232]

His Dam was a sprinter for John  Sadler. She won the G1 Humana Distaff at CD on a Derby undercard a few years ago.

[jbelfior]

I handicap the Derby as if it was a two turn race at a mile. Why complicate it when none of us know who is getting the mile and a quarter anyway.

So of course I think he\'s got a huge shot to be in the mix at the end.


Good Luck,
Joe B.

[FrankD.]

Hi Richard,

I hope all is well.

> I read what I read > about his “action” and while he visually
> looked good winning the BG at Keeneland

I have to take issue with his “visually looked good” it was a horrific BG field.  All alone in the lane he looked like a green baby in his first start. I crossed him off my list before he hit the finish line.

Draw dependent I hope he and a couple others press the Servis crooked kneed, 16k, junkie to insure a lively pace.....

MJ I like Max Security as much as you do!

[johnnym]

He sure came home slow in the BG

[jbelfior]

Not unexpected considering it was only his second start of the year. Heard similar regarding Good Magic last year.

Good Luck,
Joe B.

[TempletonPeck]

To me, the argument against is that he has now had about 4 months and 2 tries at matching/improving his 2yo top and has failed to do so.

Maybe interesting, he\'s presently 14/1 in England, but 30/1 at the Hilton (fine, \"Westgate\" - yuck).