Author Topic: Equibase Win Pools as of 3:00 a.m.  (Read 1425 times)

Tavasco

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Equibase Win Pools as of 3:00 a.m.
« on: May 04, 2019, 02:29:21 AM »
All @ 5/1 but pool totals with only about $150K ea in the following order

#7 Maximum  Security (favorite)

#5 Improbable

#8 Tacitus

Is 5/1 bettable? Seems short, made some sense, I thought, when they were all gonna be close to double digits I suppose I was spoiled by that thought cause I\'m pissed off now.

bfick

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Re: Equibase Win Pools as of 3:00 a.m.
« Reply #1 on: May 04, 2019, 08:21:11 AM »
It blows my mind how anyone could settle for less than double digits on MS, where it looks like he will be.  He walks a ridiculously slow 1/2 mile uncontested then chased home by a maiden and that was enough to impress everyone to bet him into the top 3 choices???? He may be a talented enough to win, but to bet him at these odds knowing the pace will be much more intense and there will be real horses bearing down on him is nothing less than insane.

belmont3

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Re: Equibase Win Pools as of 3:00 a.m.
« Reply #2 on: May 04, 2019, 08:35:32 AM »
From John Nichols twitter feed:

\"Maximum Security just did an old school pre race day blowout from the 7.5 pole to the 5.5 pole in 11.4 and 23.1\"

@Johnnic90177573 on twitter

Bob

Dana666

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Re: Equibase Win Pools as of 3:00 a.m.
« Reply #3 on: May 04, 2019, 08:39:20 AM »
He has zero shot, Servis magic or not. I wouldn\'t take 100-1.

bluechip21

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Re: Equibase Win Pools as of 3:00 a.m.
« Reply #4 on: May 04, 2019, 08:53:47 AM »
There is a scenario where they let him walk...

bfick

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Re: Equibase Win Pools as of 3:00 a.m.
« Reply #5 on: May 04, 2019, 09:02:19 AM »
Perhaps, but there is enough speed where I don\'t see that as a likely scenario.  Either way anyone who likes this horse can find plenty of 8-1 shots today without all the questions this guy has.  Throw in that there are 18 other horses to beat, where 17 of them are no longer maidens.....  No thanks

Dana666

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Re: Equibase Win Pools as of 3:00 a.m.
« Reply #6 on: May 04, 2019, 10:42:56 AM »
apparently he\'s 9-2 right now according to the CD website
that is beyond absurd
there\'s always one wise-guy horse who takes the $$$
i only wish i could book those bets and never need to gamble the rest of my life

Tavasco

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Re:The Beneficiary Of Mob Hysteria
« Reply #7 on: May 04, 2019, 12:08:39 PM »
Meanwhile in an alternative universe. Game winner is slowly floating toward 7/1 as late money follows the leader.

Since in race #4 a couple of plodders caught and passed one time super horse Hidden Scroll, doubt about the Florida crop gains traction with those of us described previously as not even knowing what we don\'t know.

The next check box w/b Race #10 where Instagrand goes in the Pat Day Mile. Instagrand wins convincingly and I\'m keying Game Winner. Else Two dollars to show on Bodeexpress.

JR

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Re: Equibase Win Pools as of 3:00 a.m.
« Reply #8 on: May 04, 2019, 01:43:50 PM »
Say what you will about fractions and who he beat in his prior races but the fact remains he’s coming into this with one of the faster numbers at 1 1/8 where he was showing no signs of weaknening at the finish. The price might not be right but that’s the only thing not to like about him.
JR

boardedup

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Re: Equibase Win Pools as of 3:00 a.m.
« Reply #9 on: May 04, 2019, 01:57:53 PM »
But that’s a big issue on the list of what not to like.  For me it turns him into a defensive play as opposed to potential value, even a Key.  He’ll be on or near the lead and that’s half the battle as of late.

bfick

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Re: Equibase Win Pools as of 3:00 a.m.
« Reply #10 on: May 04, 2019, 02:08:30 PM »
Obviously there are many who share the same view as yours and willing to back it up with their $$$$$.  And for that I\'m thankful for parimutuel betting.

Good luck.

Ace

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Re: Re:The Beneficiary Of Mob Hysteria
« Reply #11 on: May 04, 2019, 03:35:52 PM »
The result of the Pat Day Mile makes me want to look long and hard at Spinoff and shade the Bafferts

bluechip21

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Re: Re:The Beneficiary Of Mob Hysteria
« Reply #12 on: May 04, 2019, 03:42:11 PM »
speed is back

Tavasco

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Re: Re:The Beneficiary Of Mob Hysteria
« Reply #13 on: May 04, 2019, 03:48:26 PM »
Well it certainly saves me money.

Wasabi!

hellersorr

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Re: Equibase Win Pools as of 3:00 a.m.
« Reply #14 on: May 04, 2019, 04:28:40 PM »
Move to New Jersey and you can lay all the bets you want.