WAR STORY

[johnnym]

Totally see you point just went the other way.

[wrongly1]

Don\'t let me talk you off the horse.  Just my take.  Good luck.  T.

[Dana666]

15 mins to post.  Pavel and Draft Pick are 6-1 and War Story 12-1. I don\'t get that.

[johnnym]

Hope you played him nice call
Sorry never mind

[Mstrlucky74]

johnnym Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Hope you played him nice call
> Sorry never mind

lol...what idiotic betting. Like him a lot and only keyed him in tri\'s. No win/place bets.

[APny]

This thread really made me laugh. After all we know about Navarro...you guys seemed to be the only people surprised the horse took no money and ran like crap. Del Mar is not Monmouth Park or Gulfstream. Lesson learned here.

[BitPlayer]

You may be right but:

None of the shippers ran well.  Horses working at Del Mar ran 1-2-3 and War Story finished ahead of both Seeking the Soul and Quip.

Navarro is winning at a 31% clip (4 of 13) at the Spa.

[TGJB]

And the horse ran well at Dmr before.

[JR]

Joining the chat late and red boarding a little bit but I wasn’t surprised to see all of the fastest ones coming in regress. I believe they were all coming in off of paired career tops and none of them had ever run back to their top in their next race. All regressed somewhere in the neighborhood of 3pts if I remember correctly. Essentially, they ran true to their prior form. They bounced.

[FrankD.]

If you are going to RED BOARD?
Please have your facts in order....

War Story came in with a 2- neg in his last.
He had run 3.5- neg in 2017 and had paired 3.25- neg in March of 2018 @ Tampa and
3.25- neg in April of 2018 @ CT

[JR]

My bad. I just remember a lot of the fastest ones were coming in off of near career best races and they were more likely to go backwards than forward.

I didn’t remember War Story pairing -3s.

[JR]

Actually looking at WAR STORY that last race at MTH was the fastest he’d run since the back to back -3.25s and that was over a year and 8 races ago. I think he’s shot.

[JR]

Anyhow, I don’t think it was the shipping. He’d run well at DMR before. I think it was the short rest and this horse just being over the top.

[johnnym]

Quip ran a new top prior
Per Asmussen the Cali tracks are much different than in the past
Very heavy and slow safety reasons believe the local horses had an advantage.
It’s very unusual for Del Mar to be slow and Saratoga setting new track records.
Something to put away for the BCC

[BitPlayer]

That the deeper (for safety reasons) California track gave local horses an advantage is a narrative that makes sense.  What\'s troubling me is how to reconcile the Pacific Classic results with the results of the Gold Cup (run at Santa Anita in May), in which Vino Rosso shipped in to run a new top and leave Saturday\'s first and third place finishers in his wake.