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Author Topic: ROTW  (Read 939 times)

TGJB

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ROTW
« on: May 02, 2024, 02:28:57 PM »
Okay Fairmount, you’re on.
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TGJB

johnnym

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Re: ROTW
« Reply #1 on: May 02, 2024, 03:17:13 PM »
The dancing bear is making a bud light run per my sources.
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trackjohn

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Re: ROTW
« Reply #2 on: May 02, 2024, 06:26:24 PM »
Only one run????
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johnnym

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Re: ROTW
« Reply #3 on: May 03, 2024, 08:08:35 AM »
Per Fairmount:
I quote.

Fairmount couldn’t post as he is an IDIOT and only his home computer is logged in. His picks are the following

Race 8 The Modesty Stakes
Key the 2, win bet

Use with the 4,5,6 in ex and tri.

Good luck and a round of bud light for all my friends.
(Ok I added the last part)

Happy Derby
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TGJB

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Re: ROTW
« Reply #4 on: May 03, 2024, 10:25:14 AM »
Meanwhile, the overwhelming lack of response is not encouraging me to do this again.
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TGJB

TreadHead

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Re: ROTW
« Reply #5 on: May 03, 2024, 10:27:39 AM »
Not convinced 2 likes soft ground.  9 Papilio has a buried soft turf fig, but needs to show us he\'s back to his 3 yr old form here, and did not in his first start.  Also dont love the work tab, otherwise he might be my key.

10 Sparkle Blue also has a buried fig last year and not running his best on TAM turf may be forgivable, much better work tab, and a very nice turf dam.  That\'s my key.  Give me 9 underneath along with 5 Mouffy with some nice figure power and lightly raced profile that may still have a new top left in it, as well as Prat/Pletcher on the 6 Surprisingly.

BOL to all
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TempletonPeck

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Papilio!
« Reply #6 on: May 03, 2024, 12:38:41 PM »
#9 - Papilio for me.

A pretty straightforward case, to me at least: she has the co-best figure in the race (albeit 9 months old) and earned it on soft turf. Also, she has run reasonably well on CD turf previously. I think she wins the race more than 1 in every 10 tries.

I will also use/bet #10 - Sparkle Blue, assuming ML or better (as I type, 8/1 on track and overseas). Her 3rd start of the season was her best last year -- and was about fast enough to win this. If she replicates that pattern today, but a bit faster (as her first two starts of the year, and the sire\'s stats suggest she could), you should at least get some excitement for your money.
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P-Dub

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Re: ROTW
« Reply #7 on: May 03, 2024, 01:43:34 PM »
No kidding

Where is everyone
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P-Dub

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Re: ROTW
« Reply #8 on: May 03, 2024, 01:51:41 PM »
Peck I agree with you on Papilio, a def use.

The #2 Aspen Grove ran a top first out 4yo, and these often times move forward again. If she does she can be right there with a decent trip
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P-Dub

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Re: ROTW
« Reply #9 on: May 03, 2024, 02:09:48 PM »
Great call on the Analysis
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P-Dub

TempletonPeck

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Re: Papilio!
« Reply #10 on: May 03, 2024, 02:10:27 PM »
Looks like I will have to be satisfied with a little excitement for my money!

Hope you all did better, heh.
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jerry

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Re: ROTW
« Reply #11 on: May 03, 2024, 09:37:36 PM »
Used it. Keyed the 2 in tris. Had the triple twice. Exacta once. Thank you sir.
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