squints

[tracker]

i went by your analysis and hit the squints race small.  When I went back to look at the figures for the race I cant beliee that Delaware race is right. Every figure maker I could see had that race about the same as his others.  Did the winner of that race really run what has to be one of the fastest races this year and not make it to the DRF Beyer leaderboard?

[TGJB]

When I handicapped that race for the analysis I went back and reviewed that big race. All indications so far are that it’s right, but I’ll look again in a month or two. The winner freaked, then they ran him back on short rest and probably ruined him.

[tracker]

Thank you for the explanation. Can you explain why you think that it\'s right? You talk about the winner running poorly the next time and Squints looked just as good if that race was 5 or more points slower.

Do yo uever look at other figures like Beyer to see if there is agreement on certain races?

[TGJB]

Look at? Sometimes. Use to verify? Seriously?

1- nobody behind the top two ran a new top. Several went FORWARD the next time, or paired up.

2- the track got a little slower as the day went on, but stayed in a pretty tight range. I actually had the track slower for the two races after that one. Anybody who had that race a lot slower broke it out (a lot) and gave out terrible figures to all behind the top two.

[tracker]

I was being serious but from your response I get there\'s no point in having a discussion. I see  no reason why horses beaten 10-15 lengths can\'t run terrible figures. You think the opposite.

[TGJB]

No, I agree. There is no reason why horses can’t run terrible figures.

They just don’t have to.

[tracker]

Thanks again for the useful response if you want to call double talk useful.

Time to move on to tomorrows handicapping.

[TGJB]

Okay, I’ll play. What was the double talk?