AI's take on "At the Races" sheets this week

[Roman]

Chat GPT handicapped the \"Byk Show\" sheets, and this is what it came up with.

🔥 Top Win Contenders
1. THEN (Post 8, Trainer: Antonacci, Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr.)
TG Pattern: 7-62-73 (cycling back to top)

Best TG Figure: 7 (last year on dirt)

Recent turf figs: 62 and 73 — with improving pattern.

Key Angle: 3rd race off a layoff, top jock, lightly raced with upside.

Trainer stat: 55% pair in this spot; 0% X. Dangerous if he returns to the 7.

2. NAVY SEAL (Post 3, Trainer: Wesley Ward, Jockey: Espinoza)
TG Pattern: 112-7-81 (regressed a bit but 7 is excellent)

Best TG Figure: 7

Classy pattern: competed in graded stakes; possible bounce back.

Concern: Slight regression last time, but the 7 puts him in top contention.

🧨 Live Longshot / Value Candidates
3. RAMBLIN’ WRECK (Post 6, Trainer: Danny Gargan, Jockey: Joel Rosario)
TG Pattern: 62-10-10 (pair of 10s, steady)

Has run a 62 and 63 — repeat of either puts him in mix.

Reliable grinder: doesn’t win often but great for exotics; could win with trip.

4. TARAJ (IRE) (Post 2, Trainer: Bill Mott, Jockey: Junior Alvarado)
TG Pattern: 122-73-92 — 73 is strong for Euro import.

Upside: First North American start with Lasix; Mott 41% “top” last 90 days.

Euro class play with stateside improvement possible.

🏇 Underneath Use / Watch List
GILDED CRAKEN (Post 4): Big jump to 73 last time (off a previous 12). Could bounce, but that 73 makes him competitive.

CLASSIC CREATION (Post 5): Regressed to 111/113, but has a 72 top; inconsistent.

BULLDOZE (Post 7): Regressed to 162 last time; would need to bounce back to previous 103.

❌ Negative Patterns / Vulnerable
BE OF COURAGE (Post 1): Recent pattern is 62-92-82 — heading in wrong direction.

COMMON DEFENSE (Post 9): All dirt races with 7 top — but no turf experience.

📌 Recommendation
Your strongest win contenders based on TG sheet analysis are:

THEN

NAVY SEAL

TARAJ (as an improving Euro)

RAMBLIN’ WRECK (as a grinder with upside if pace collapses)

[Roman]

And it gave me a trifecta to play.

🏇 Win Candidates (Top 4)
THEN (Post – improving figure, sharp trainer/jock combo, lightly raced.

NAVY SEAL (Post 3) – best TG top in field (7), classy stakes company.

TARAJ (IRE) (Post 2) – Euro with upside, Mott barn, Lasix on, very live.

RAMBLIN’ WRECK (Post 6) – consistent, strong TG figs, always around the money.

🔁 Pace Overview
No confirmed speed demon—shape favors tactical types with a late kick, like THEN and NAVY SEAL.

Closers like THEN, TARAJ, and RAMBLIN’ WRECK could all benefit if early fractions are honest.

💰 Suggested Bets
🥇 Win Bets (value-oriented)
THEN (Post — up to 4-1

TARAJ (IRE) (Post 2) — up to 6-1

🎯 Exacta Box (4-horse)
Box these:
THEN / NAVY SEAL / TARAJ / RAMBLIN’ WRECK

Cost = $12 for $1 exacta box

Strong mix of class, pattern, and value.

🥉 Trifecta Structure (for value)
Trifecta Key Box (one horse on top, 3 underneath)

1st: THEN

2nd/3rd: NAVY SEAL, TARAJ, RAMBLIN’ WRECK

$6 for $0.50 base (1x3x3 combo)

🎯 Longshot saver exacta
TARAJ over THEN and NAVY SEAL

Pays well if Euro turns the tables with Lasix.

[Roman]

Then it asked if I would like an aggressive vertical wager. I said sure.

Below is a “swing‑for‑the‑fences” vertical‑only approach that presses our strongest opinions (THEN on top, NAVY SEAL & TARAJ just behind) while still sprinkling in a few bombs that could blow the pool wide‑open.

1️⃣ Superfecta attack (50‑cent base)
Ticket logic   Horses by position   # combos   Cost*
Key THEN ( on top
Exact “A / B / C / D” & “A / B / D / C” patterns   1st A = 8 (THEN)
2nd B = 3 (NAVY SEAL), 2 (TARAJ)
3rd C = 6 (RAMBLIN’ WRECK), 4 (GILDED CRAKEN)
4th D = 5 (CLASSIC CREATION), 1 (BE OF COURAGE), 7 (BULLDOZE), 9 (COMMON DEFENSE)   32   $16
Press the backup key NAVY SEAL or TARAJ on top
Mirror the structure with B on top & THEN 2nd   1st B = 3, 2
2nd A = 8
3rd C = 6, 4
4th D = 5, 1, 7, 9   32   $16
Total super bankroll      64   $32

*50‑cent denomination. You can dial the base up or down to fit bankroll.

Why it’s aggressive
We’re leveraging a single‑digit win key (THEN) with two logical co‑keys, but we do NOT cover them everywhere—we’re demanding one of our A/B horses wins, and at least one middling price (C) plus a deep price (D) crashes the tri/super underside.

If even a 12‑1 shot such as GILDED CRAKEN (4) or CLASSIC CREATION (5) clunks up for 3rd/4th, the super blows up.

2️⃣ Pressed trifectas ( $1 base)
Ticket   Structure   # combos   Cost
Primary press   8 WITH (3,2) WITH (6,4,5,1,7,9)   12   $12
Saver   (3,2) WITH 8 WITH (6,4,5,1,7,9)   12   $12
Total trifecta spend      24   $24

These wagers hammer our top pairing (8 over 3/2) while spreading six deep underneath to maximize chaos‑value.

3️⃣ Optional “bomb” ice‑cold exacta saver
2 (TARAJ) → 8 (THEN) ($10 straight)

If the Euro surges forward on first‑Lasix and THEN merely chases, this keeps us alive for a nice two‑figure hit.

Bankroll snapshot
Bet type   Cost
Superfecta bloc   $32
Trifecta bloc   $24
Exacta saver   $10
Total suggested action   $66

Scale each ticket as your comfort (or ADW minimums) dictate.

Key risk/reward notes
THEN ( must fire—if he misfires, we accept the loss for the shot at a multi‑hundred‑to‑1 super.

Leaving BE OF COURAGE (1) and BULLDOZE (7) off the 3rd slot is deliberate (poor TG pattern); they can only “clunk” into 4th on our tickets.

COMMON DEFENSE (9) is the wildest price—zero turf data but a pair of 7s on dirt. Tossing him underneath could be the sequence‑breaker if he handles the sod.

Good luck punching—and may your vertical ladder cash big!