Good job on the ROTW

[derby1592]

Regardless of the eventual outcome, good analysis.

Chris

[beyerguy]

For what its worth, I think Host towers over this field.

Where\'s Jimbo on this?

[beyerguy]

Despite a very wide trip, he still got the job done, so I\'ll stick by my \"towers\" comment.  Sometimes you just have to suck it up and take the $5.40.



Post Edited (12-05-04 06:47)

[Chuckles_the_Clown2]

I will accept even money on a horse I think is a standout. But doing so on a small Turf course is very hard to do. Sounds like TGraph was all over the winner. Sometimes the favorite is a good bet.

[beyerguy]

Chuckles_the_Clown2 wrote:

> I will accept even money on a horse I think is a standout. But
> doing so on a small Turf course is very hard to do. Sounds like
> TGraph was all over the winner. Sometimes the favorite is a
> good bet.

\"Rationally though, he’s a
contender but an underlay.\"

The above is from the analysis.  I don\'t think that is really being all over a horse.  I respect the analyst found him to be a probable underlay, while I had him about 3-5 to win this race.  Such is racing, it goes the other way sometimes.

[Michael D.]

CtC,
did you even read the analysis? they had the winner an underlay at 3-1. that must have made him a huge underlay in their opinion at half those odds. still, i always appreciate the ROTW from TG, it\'s free, and it always gives some interesting info. for full disclosure sake, i had pretty much the same opinion as TG on the top three, and missed the race.



Post Edited (12-04-04 18:12)

[Chuckles_the_Clown2]

No I didn\'t read it. I don\'t bet Turf races at Calder.

I just skimmed it and I think its clear they liked the perfecta horses and hinted the big money third place finisher might surprise.

[Michael D.]

they did not like the winner in the least at those odds. they had him an underlay at 3-1, and he went off at half those odds.

[jimbo66]

Chuckles,

Come on.  Be at least somewhat reasonable when you post a contrarian opinion.  \"T-Graph was all over the winner\", is the worst post on this board in quite a while.  The horse paid $5.40 and Jerry said that Silver Tree was the most likely winner, with Host only having one figure that put him in contention and was an underlay at 3-1.  

That is about as far away from \"all over\" the winner as it gets.  

I am not criticizing the ROTW.  I don\'t bet horses in December, so I don\'t want to redboard the race.  I know I would not have had Host at that price though.  But don\'t post \"T-Graph was all over the winner\".  That just isnt\' close to being accurate.

[spa]

The analysis was super...Missed the superfecta because I dumped the 2 and inserted the 14. I had a good bet on the exacta to make money on the race. I tried to buy the analysis for Calder but it was not available. The superfecta,in my opinion was ripe, but what did Chop Chop do to the 2? I think the tote board flickered as the 2 ran by.

[jimbo66]

Yeah, really super.  The analysis has positive comments on 9 of the 12 horses listed.  And the one it called an underlay at 3-1, won the race.

Spa, glad you had the exacta.  But 8-5 over 8-5?

[spa]

It was  1.70 over 1.70 $13...that\'s why the race was sooooo easy at the superfecta level....$2,500 x 10.....$25,000....get the picture ?? It was all there in the analysis. The late scratch fooled me again....what a game!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[jimbo66]

Spa,

If the race was easy for you, congratulations.  But give the credit to yourself for hitting the race, not the ROTW.  

Jim

[beyerguy]

You guys are really stretching things to say that analysis pointed to the winner and the super, I just don\'t get it.

[Michael D.]

don\'t bother beyer, as much as you are making sense, you aren\'t going to convince this spa guy of anything. he cashed, great for him. the ROTW was well written, they just didn\'t like the winner at the low odds, as many of us didn\'t (myself included).