what's the ROTW?

[davidrex]

  come on boys...the only reason fla. racing was so good in past[and present] is because new york owners brought their animals down w/them for the season.fla. never had to offer much of a purse for anything ungraded...there was no winter racing except bowie and ky. was also dark.so the wealthy came from both states w/trainers in tow and dominated the locals and their steeds
   warm weather decades ago was a pleasure the idle rich excelled at and without cable hookup the rest of us [the rooted ones]gawked at every visual and soundbite that came our way from the land over the rainbow.
         PARTYpokerON

[Ill-bred]

Going by the TG figs in the race of the week, it appears Beyer screwed up the number for Noble Causeway, making him look nearly as fast as High Fly.

DRF website poll has Noble Causeway as the favorite.

To me, the race decision will come down to hammereing High Fly to win and in the exotics, or hoping he runs an off race. In that case, things get very interesting if you can also toss the likely 2nd choice Noble Causeway and throwout Evil Minister.

Some options to think about....

[TGJB]

Illbred-- The track definitely was getting faster on FOY day, and that race was tight-- I posted the sheets for all the horses in it here a couple of days ago. Both Andy and Len appear not to have the track changing, at least late in the card, which is more of a surprise with Beyer than Ragozin, who basically uses an average track speed for a day.

[xichibanx]

If you read the papers down here there will be no slot fueled overnight purses...

[Ill-bred]

I\'m confused.

Beyer\'s figs for the day would indicate that he DID have the track getting faster.

NC (96 beyer) ran six lengths slower than High Fly (99 beyer).

If I understand correctly, you\'re saying he got it right then, as far as splitting the day\'s variant goes?



Post Edited (04-01-05 15:50)

[beyerguy]

Beyer definitely split the variant.

[TGJB]

Okay, now I\'m confused too.

We gave HF 2 points better than NC, which would mean 6-7 Beyer points. But he was wider on the turns, which Beyer doesn\'t take into account, so if he did those two races the way we did that would give him about 3 points better, which is what he gave him. So yes, he did at least that part of the day the same way we did. BUT-- only relative to itself. They have both races too fast, by quite a bit-- which is why I got confused. Andy and Ragozin both have the FOY about 2-3 TG points too fast, Beyer also has the other race too fast. Len might have the NC race about right, since he uses the average speed of the track, and the track for that race was about average for the day.

Which is not to say High Fly won\'t run that fast this time-- just that he didn\'t run that fast last time.

[Ill-bred]

Interesting.....thanks for the clarification.

I am a pattern rookie, but ... I guess High Fly\'s 2-pt bounce was small enough that it is viewed positively, given his overall pattern.

Thanks again