Value in Bluegrass...

[jimbo66]

If the horse you want to bet against as the 8-5 favorite, goes off at 9-2, is that really value?  

Betting against Sun King at 9-2 is tougher than betting against him at 8-5.

Bandini has to be bet against hard here IMO>

[mbeychok]

At the risk of being very wrong and disagreeing with the ROTW analysis I\'ll go out on a limb with Closing Argument.  12-1 is more than fair on a horse who was able to get 1 1/8 in early February. McLaughlin is a terrific layoff trainer especially going a route of ground. Nice line and the layoff doesn\'t bother me.  A little slower than others but I think a top is likely. question is will that be enough to put him in the winner\'s circle?  We\'ll see in 10 minutes.  good luck everyone.

[Michael D.]

jim,
i have to take sk here at 4-1. need him in a few different pk4\'s also.

and i bet GNB to win like i told you... that was a killer. i used CS, but i put a bunch into the pk4\'s, so i don\'t even have that $80 exacta.



Post Edited (04-16-05 17:39)

[Silver Charm]

Closing Argument is 13-1 and is equally as fast as Bandini who is 5/2.

Which one do I bet?

It looks like all 4 are going to be 5-2/3-1 by post time. Looks like another pass for me. I guess I have to hope AA takes a lot of money at Oaklawn (so I can bet against) or my only gambling today is going to be at Party Poker. :-)

[MO]

Its 8 minutes to post, and I have $200.00 to win on HL. 5-2 so far.

[Silver Charm]

AA is 5/2 co-favorite

[Silver Charm]

Good Post MO.

Out in front.

\"Which one do I bet?\"

Closing Argument \"is\" very tempting at that price. He\'s an overlay on my line, but I\'m just not feeling it for the win.

[Michael D.]

look at the place, show pools. SK taking much more than bandini. tabor with a hundred thousand in the win pool?

[Silver Charm]

I bet neither.

I bet with MO and Derby 1592.  

Derby 1592 is the EF Hutton of this board

[Chuckles_the_Clown2]

the only thing that bothers me about Closing Argument is the rail. I\'m not feeling ideal about it.

Also theres no sense in tossing both of TGJB\'s perfecta horses because unless you think you can get a 1-2 perfecta up they are all the same price.

I\'m going with Closing Argument and Consolidator as key horses.

[Silver Charm]

Bandini,

He had the most gain and loose going in. He needed the money.

High Limit looked cheap

So much for the Milkshake theory they run one-two

lol

Impressive performance. Too bad he didn\'t go off at the price I wanted.

[MO]

I can \"get out\" with Chavez in the Ark Derby