Ky Derby

[Michael D.]

looks like a five horse race. current odds: AA 6/1, HF 9/1, Bandini 6/1, BR 3.3/1, noble causeway 11/1. they marked down the florida horses big time right after the two preps. i have NC and HF from earlier pools, and i\'m going with the florida three heading into the derby (although i didn\'t have bandini today).

[Silver Charm]

How quickly everyone forgets. Sun King, Consolidator and High Limit were all the talk and now they are old news.

Bellamy Road will go favored. Negative four or so will look pretty towering over this bunch. But not on Friday will, take the late money Saturday.

[Bally Ache]

There\'s a race next week folks.  Most of you dismissed Afleet Alex 3 weeks ago.  After all, if the horse wouldn\'t run for \"Johnny V.\" he can\'t be any good, right?

Well, THIS horse runs for Jeremy Rose. He also showed last year he\'ll respond when challenged.  Some won\'t do that and you can bet that some won\'t do it on May 7.

Now there\'s a horse named Rockport Harbor in next week\'s race and, if he\'s right, he\'ll probably jump right over all of them.

I guess we\'ll just have to wait and see, won\'t we?

[Silver Charm]

Another words the Derby will have twenty horses and will be wide open.

[Michael D.]

good call bally. you stuck with AA and you were correct. can\'t blame johnny v, look at what he did on bandini, but maybe rose pushes a different button with this guy (although i think it was the lung infection and fast 7f race that did him in last time).



Post Edited (04-16-05 19:21)

[Michael D.]

sun king could bounce back i guess. he is holding at 16/1. he was checked back to last at the start, then ran 3w/5w and closed ok. he ran the second best #. he still might not get the distance though.

I actually think this is a very deep and talented bunch of horses.

[Michael D.]

interesting fact - after AA ran a bit wide around the first turn, then four wide around the second turn, he ran the last eighth in :11.7! i didn\'t think this was a 10f horse, but he exploded at the end.

[Silver Charm]

the few prep angle means for a good summer of racing

[marcus]

I dismissed Aflett Alex today for win bet purposes only becouse of the 11 point bounce and the price , however this does not preclude him from winning or getting back better than ever ... Rockport Harbor\'s situation w/ his foot is still unknown , it\'s really anybodys guess and it\'s something we\'ve all seen before . I was pretty high on Rockport Harbor after winning that New York race - he sure had decent numbers and looked fantastic but now I don\'t know...
 I do know w/ confidence that I would decline to take a short price on him right now ...

[Bally Ache]

I think this might be a pretty good group too.  Don\'t dismiss Consolidator or Sun King because of yesterday.  May 7 = different day, different track.

Remember, the Derby isn\'t about who\'s the best horse.  It\'s about who\'s the best horse at 6 o\'clock on May 7.

[jbelfior]

CH--

I agree. This is the most contentious bunch in a long while.

Good for AFLEET ALEX, a gutsy horse with a big heart. Whether he can crank out 2 in a row is another question.

Lot\'s of tops going into the big race. I think the Fla. Derby horses will go off at longer odds than they should due to the 5 week off hype.

It\'s going to be a terrific race and I\'m hoping the weather is not a factor. It\'s been a dry spell in the east for too long and that\'s bound to change.



Good Luck,
joe B.

[fasteddie]

I\'m not sold on \'Alex being a 1-1/4 horse; the Blue Grass was typical of Kee.....speed prevails, and Bandini is going to take a lot of $$ on DD.

This might be the best betting race in along time (fast track, please!!) as Bellamy & Alex & Bandini are the likely favs, while High Fly will be around 7-1, and my Derby horse-Sun King- is going to be around 15-1! I can\'t wait!

[big ant]

It Will be interesting to see where Edgar Prado goes, is he locked in to ride either NC or SK ? Will Day be back? Anybody know out there?

[jbelfior]

If you were Prado, who would you ride (assuming you had a choice)?


Good Luck,
Joe B.