Pace is not a popular term around here right now, but with Closing Arguments Pace style and gate hole there was no way you could foresee him running the race he did. That was a spectacular effort. He got the benefit of wide, but its clear hes outrunning his breeding.
All the Pace/Runup stuff has my head spinning. Runups especially. Pace numbers can be evaluated by internal fractions and focusing upon the very first fraction (the runup fraction) in a race is useful, but its not the whole enchilada. Personally, my view is that runups are placed consistently and its much adieu about little.
Its also my view that pace impacts the final number. Thats relative of course to a number of things, including odds. So its easy to have disagreements about Pace impact when a horse is coming into a race with a string of TGraph Zeds\' and his next nearest competitior though Pace advantaged has TGraph 1.2\'s. If the odds say the Zed horse is a better return the Pace disadvantage is relative.
Anyway, theres times to depart from Pace considerations and its easy to understand methods that say Horses generally run their race. That is generally true.