Pimlico Special

[richiebee]

I am liking Eddington quite a bit in the Pimlico Special on Friday. He is every bit as fast as the other contenders and seems like he will be the only closer in a field with a breakaway speed horse(Presidential Affair)and 5 others (Badge of Silver, Funny Cide, Second of June, Offlee Wild and Pollard\'s Vision) who want to stalk or press the pace. I would be comfortable with Eddington well behind a fast pace on the backstretch; he seems like the only horse who will allow his rider to take back off the leaders. Looking for 6/1 or above.

For a longshot, Second of June. He needs to run a new top to win, and his Thorograph Pattern says there is a 22% chance of this. We do not know if he will like Pimlico, but both his sire and maternal grandsire won the Preakness. A $7500 auction purchase, a June foal and a horse with obvious soundness issues--he should be 20/1 or above.

[BitPlayer]

richiebee -

I\'m pretty sure Second of June is scratched.  He\'s stuck at Churchill due to the EHV quarantine.

[shanahan]

Richie...the damn horse scratched yesterday...get with the program.

[richiebee]

Sorry, they didn\'t announce the Pimlico scratches at Belmont yesterday.

How does a horse who spent almost its entire life in Florida end up quarantined in KY?

[Bally Ache]

Eddington is not the same horse away from GP.  IMO it looks like Bailey made the same mistake two years in a row re the Triple Crown.

If it\'s sloppy at Pim, Presidential Affair wire to wire.  This horse loves slop.

[jbelfior]

Re: PRESIDENTIAL AFFAIR--- it appears his trainer has found a new vet.

I have a huge problem with any races run in the Delaware---Philly Park---Pimlico---Laurel area.

I would clog up this posting site with the names of trainers and horses that have dramatically improved, after they were 4 and 5 yo, under the trainers that inhabit this region.


Good Luck,
Joe B.

[flushedstraight]

So safe to assume a sloppy special today?

No fun to be master of the obvious but that makes Dutrow\'s horse look awfully imposing, assuming he gets his usual pre-race deep tissue massage. Wouldn\'t be surprised if he gets pounded at the windows either, despite his toughest test in 2 years.

Considering the # consistency of this field, the distance & off track concerns with Badge, and an expected collapse of Pres Affair when challenged, I imagine...

Offlee Wild - Eddington running 1-2 with Edgar getting 1st jump and Eibar making a late run at him afer a wide move

Funny Cide or Pollards Vision getting 3rd depending on FC\'s condition off the shelf and PV\'s abilty to get the extra 16th

The rest look outmatched but as usual the board will dictate any wagers. Hopefully Frankel & Pletcher & FC will suck money.

[Chuckles_the_Clown2]

Presidential Affair is not a bad horse when he\'s right. Theres some good off track horses in the race and Its hard to conclude Presidential moves up on an off track. He\'s 2 for 2 on Pimlico Dry why would you want to see the track wet?

Hes (2) 1-1-0 at the distance. It looks like he won about 100,000 in the Maryland Million so he won about 50,000 for second in a longer race somewhere too.

[xichibanx]

It\'s sloppy and SOJ is scrached

I like Pollard\'s Vision in here a little bit but I like #5 Missile Bay in the 8th at Pimlico alot more.

xichibanx



Post Edited (05-20-05 13:14)

[Bally Ache]

Chuckles

Look at his last race to establish he\'s in form & likes Pim.  That race alone puts him right there with these horses.

Then look at Iselin Hcap & Skip Away Stk. both on sloppy tracks.  Look at what he ran the mile in the Iselin and he didn\'t tire. He was simply inhaled by fastest horse on planet.  Look how far back it was to the 3rd horse.  You do remember that\'s the day that GZ ran his 128?

Look at the 6f split in the Skip Away & the final time & then tell me this horse doesn\'t move up in the slop.  Also, he\'s by Not For Love & they love slop.

I like him to win & I like him with Dutrow\'s horse.  If he doesn\'t at least finish ahead of Eddington I\'ll never go to the track again (said tongue in cheek).

[Chuckles_the_Clown2]

My read is a little different. He had a couple of top efforts heading into the Islen and was due for a regression and his regression may have been aided by the off surface. The win vs. Unforgetable Max is impressive. A two turn mile is Max\'s best race. Presidential\'s 2 Monmouth pre Islen races were better in my opinion. The Woodward was a probable continuation of poor form and a tough circumstances. He\'s building back since, but note the bear out last. Still not convinced slop is his thing. It moves some of the others up big time. But, I do think he\'ll have the lead.

[Bally Ache]

I don\'t like the bearing out either.  But he did have a less experienced jock last time.  Also, first race in six months.  He could move forward off that race.

[xichibanx]

Badge of Silver scratched...

[flushedstraight]

Pres\'s last was a neg 3 1/2. He\'s ran a neg 1 or better 3 times in his life, all followed by at least a 2 1/2 pt regression, this includes a neg 2 1/2 while bearing out (with Elliot & in the slop) on 7/5/04 followed by a zed.

He should save ground on both turns today but hard not to see the regression considering history and the move to G1 territory.

[flushedstraight]

Of course in the event Badge of Silver is scratched Pres might get a bit less pressure but that hurts his price as much as it hurts the others.