ROTW analysis

[borczon]

In this week\'s ROTW analysis: \"Too Scarlet is a nice NY bred who lucked into a stake win on Belmont Day when a spill wiped out half the field\".  Maybe we were watching different races, but once she got through on the inside (which, I admit, was fortunate) spill or no spill they were never going to get her.

[Two Bucks]

Don\'t even waste your time reading the analysis... it\'s worthless.

[Michael D.]

How fast is With Ability? Was her March 29 run a \"very fast race\"? Spain runs a \"3\" every time she fires, and she ran right by With Ability last race? If you could go back and change a few, would you back up WA a bit, and therefore back up the horses she has run against, or are you confident that she is a very fast horse, and that Transcendental ran a legitimate \"2\" last time?
Tks

[TGAB]

Michael D. wrote:
>
> How fast is With Ability? Was her March 29 run a \"very fast
> race\"? Spain runs a \"3\" every time she fires, and she ran
> right by With Ability last race? If you could go back and
> change a few, would you back up WA a bit, and therefore back
> up the horses she has run against, or are you confident that
> she is a very fast horse, and that Transcendental ran a
> legitimate \"2\" last time?
> Tks

TG--Tell you what--we\'ll let you judge for yourself just how fast With Ability is. Her sheet is attached.

[Michael D.]

Thanks for the reply guys. I have judged that the Mar 29 race was not a very fast race, and that Transcendental did not run fast, even taking into account her wide trip. The 112 lbs  may give her a shot today, and it seems as though the other guys like her as well, but I think Critical Eye is the better longshot. Good Luck everybody! I could be back at 6:00 PM to admit my mistake.

[Michael D.]

back at 6:00....... Trans was the better longshot than Critical Eye, well done in the ROTW.  I am still not convinced, however, that the horses from the feature today will fare too well in the big ones this fall.