curly - not bad for a beginner , you learn fast ... how\'d you do it - wheaties, right ?
the #3 does look like the X factor in here . the most positive thing i can say about the #4 is that he should be well rested now and IF turn\'s it around today , take\'s it @ big ballons .
the field is too small for your play ( ex + tr key 1x2) to offer any real value as you\'ve mentioned - why not just go with the win or try to hook something up w / dd\'s , p-3\'s etc or just pass ...
obviously , many times there isn\'t just \" one way \" to look at a race , the rotw analysis is good and use\'s a common sense approach .