Ky Oaks Future Pool--Conspiracy Theory 101

[Sandreadis]

Marcus, Thanks for the analysis. Always respected and appreciated.
I asked you about Dominican in the Bluegrass and you told me he was usable at 30-1.I bet him @ 8-1 that day and I\'m hoping Autobahn girl will give the same results.There are a couple points about Dominican I have not heard discussed. In both races he lost position and was not as well placed as I think Miller or Bejarano would have liked. At TP he was a 1/2 step slow at the break and had to rate off the pace. He closed off the pace on a day when speed was winning EVERYTHING. Also, in the Bluegrass, I thought Bejarano was going to fall off the horse in the first turn. He either took a bad step,clipped heels or got pinched but this cost him position. I didn\'t think there was any way Dominican could outfinish GH,SS or Zanjero. These horses had first run and Dominican showed us all how talented this gelding is. I think this horse will show more speed in the Derby. Reminds me a bit of Thunder Gulch.

[NoCarolinaTony]

I agree with everything you said, but he will now be saddled with Post 1-19 or 20. 19 or 20 are the Kiss of Death.

That is why you never pre-pick a Derby Horse, until the PP\'s are assigned. It could change everything.


He will still out finish Tueflesberg though.


NC Tony

[marcus]

thanks sandreadis , discussing some of these races - specially the big ones - with yourself and most everyone on the TG board is an excellent learning experience for me . as a very  inexperienced player , one of my mistakes is gauging what is an accpetable price given the race specific circumstances . don\'t know if i was getting a little greedy , but i obviously was looking for too much when wanting 30-1 on dominican in the BG ...