Hollywood Gold Cup

[Michael D.]

My Creed - never tried the synth, no races past 1 1/16th in the PP\'s. TG didn\'t even give us his sheet. no idea

AP Ex - can get it done from the rail at 115 lbs if able to lope along on a :49, 1:13 pace. I don\'t see much better than a \'4\' if made to run early though.

Saint Stephen - had two runs in the \'2\' range on synth before last. nice post, 115 lbs, decent # power, long odds - interesting long shot if you toss last. can you toss the last though?

Portofido - rough trip last, can return to the \'3\' lvl.

Molengao - last 90 days trainer is $5.89 ROI and 46% new tops. last 83 starts in stakes races $4.20 ROI. no surprise this guy jogged last with a new top. plenty of rest since. 120 lbs, and Espinoza tends to go wide, so he\'s going to need another \'0\' to \'1\' to get it done.

Wilko - recent form is off, looking for a \'4\' at best.

AP Arrow - has the advantage at the distance, but only synth effort was poor. ships on rather short rest for the trainer.

Lava Man - tough if on game, but was all out to get the \'1.25\' last. now comes back in three weeks spotting weight.



looking for the \'0\' from Molengao and a win at ML of 5-2.

[BitPlayer]

There\'s a problem with the file, but My Creed is there.  Page 21 on the one I downloaded.

[Dana666]

Keep in mind this track has played heavily toward speed the last few days; I\'d be careful with Molengao. He\'ll need to be much the best -- perhaps he is, we\'ll see.

Lava Man should get the perfect trip. It\'s his race to lose that\'s for sure.

The strange thing to me is Doug O\'Neill is in Ireland, on vacation.  If his horses are juiced and he\'s out of the country, does that leave him off the hook if any horse tests positive???

[Uncle Buck]

Saint Stephen if he goes at 10-1 or higher looks to me to be the ONLY value in this race.

[Chuckles_the_Clown2]

Dana, I didn\'t bet the Hollywood Gold Cup, however your warning regarding Molengao and the recent track bias looks to have been well discerned. You also stayed with that iron horse. Others come and injury takes them but he keeps going and going and going. I think they claimed him for 50K and he\'s made about 6 million now with 3 straight Gold Cups. There will be no stud fee residuals with him, but what a claim. (Team Valor didn\'t like his portfolio)

The overall T-Analysis was a little off, but I was impressed with the spot on scrutiny they gave AP Xcellent. Clearly that horse got their pattern antenna up.

Dana666 Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Keep in mind this track has played heavily toward
> speed the last few days; I\'d be careful with
> Molengao. He\'ll need to be much the best --
> perhaps he is, we\'ll see.
>
> Lava Man should get the perfect trip. It\'s his
> race to lose that\'s for sure.
>
> The strange thing to me is Doug O\'Neill is in
> Ireland, on vacation.  If his horses are juiced
> and he\'s out of the country, does that leave him
> off the hook if any horse tests positive???

[spa]

And the myth continues,the myth Lava Man worked his way up from the claiming ranks.......