On a historical note, Plech had a \"marvelous\" day last year winning, among others, this race with Scat Daddy. King of the Roxy scored on that card too. The point being, don\'t put too much stock in race results at Hallandale.
richiebee Wrote:
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> COOL COAL MAN (6/1): If looking ahead to the KY
> Derby, note this Mineshaft colt
> hung up the fastest TG# of all of these and did it
> at CD. In terms of tomorrow,
> TG thoro pattern (60 runner sample) says there is
> a good chance that this
> one \"X\"s in FOY. According to DRF, Zito only has a
> 8% strike rate in Graded
> stakes.
I thought the last race was at least as good as the CD allowance. At Churchill he got away with soft fractions. In the last one, he motored.
> GOLDEN SPIKES (12/1): Bred for long, improved
> going long.
>
> COURT VISION (3/1): One of only 4 stakes winners
> in the field, a multiple graded
> SW at that. Won a glacial Remsen (Mott\'s Mushka
> won the Demoiselle the same day
> in a faster time). Mott good bringing them back
> from a layoff, but for all of
> his success, Mott not known for Derby colts. The
> 1:19 Payson Park breeze might
> speak volumes about Mott\'s intentions for this
> race.
Compare the work lines of this one to Z Humor
> KENTUCKY BEAR (10/1): A fast mile in debut. How
> much further than a mile does
> he want to go?
>
> Z HUMOR (8/1): A graded SW on the basis of his
> dead heat Delta Jackpot win;
> tired badly in his 2 other 2 turn races. On the
> one hand not badly beaten by
> War Pass and Pyro in the Champagne, on the other
> hand could only dead heat Turf
> War, who was no factor in the Risen Star last
> week.
And on a third hand, If War Pass was genuinely flattered by the Risen Star, this horse has to receive honorable mention upon the results of that race.
> READY SET (20/1): His 2 lifetime wins were in
> races where he was 3/5 and 4/5.
> Some TG appeal in that he has a very favorable
> Thoro pattern, but even a new top
> may not be enough here.
> MONBA (4/1): His only dirt race was only average.
> As the Clown says in his
> roundabout way, he is bred to go this far and
> further. Expect a late run.
Well sort of, I also said \"be certain the surface is conducive to a late run\".
> ANAK NAKAL (6/1): His maiden win at Bel was
> visually impressive. In the Nashua
> he was beaten by Etched, the Dubai/Wise Guy Derby
> horse. A graded SW at 2 at CD,
> but this one not given an allowance prep as was
> Cool Coal Man.
>
> ELYSIUM FIELDS (15/1): I\'d like to introduce
> everyone to the new Barclay Tagg,
> who once was strictly a deadly turf trainer. Here
> is a colt bred both sides for
> grass yet Tagg puts him right on to the Derby
> path. Although he has only broken
> his maiden (over the course and with the addition
> of blinkers),he has worked
> well into this race. He has closed stoutly into
> slowish fractions in races at
> Calder and Laurel. He is not much slower than some
> of his more seasoned
> competition and has a favorable Thoro- pattern.
> One of the few in the race to
> be stabled at GP, where he is working quite well.
> Barclay\'s last 90 day stats
> quite humble, as could be expected after his
> torrid late summer/fall run.
> My selection in the race at odds of 10/1 or
> above.
The other item that should be mentioned is the \"Rogues Badge\" This horse appeared to be a bit closer to the pace and finished stronger in the last. Though that certainly could have been a function of the distance. Still, he hasn\'t been able to beat any horse named after \"Shoes\". Thats somewhat portentous.
Didn\'t Nobiz Like Showbiz resort to them too?
> HALO NAJIB (12/1): Shown versatility with 2
> synthetic wins and a near miss in
> CD\'s Iroquois, where he hung up a TG that makes
> him competitive with these.
> Some value here.
>
> MAKE THE POINT (12/1): Improved with age and going
> first out for KMac. Lack
> of 2 turn racing experience, outside post and
> spacing of races are all
> negatives, IMO.
>
> ADRIANO (20/1): Makes his dirt track debut, and he
> is certainly bred for the
> main.This is a late runner so outside post may not
> hurt that badly. Certainly
> moving forward and will be interesting to see how
> he handles dirt.
>
> Alls well that ends-- Court Vision and Monba
> program favorites have not raced
> this year. Anak Nakal has not raced this year.
> Taking a shot with Elysium
> Fields (15/1), Cool Coal Man (6/1),Ready Set
> (20/1) and Halo Najib (12/1) in
> gimmicks with win bet on Elysium Fields.
