Trying to start to incorporate Race Shape into my capping a bit.
Looking at the 7th today at Hollywood.
The consensus says that the 2 is a strong single in the pick 6.
While the sheet numbers for the 2 are strong, the pattern and race shapes says he\'s a very vulnerable favroite.
In particular, the 2 has been on the lead in every race he has run and has never passed a horse to win a race.
Race shapes says he will be well back in this race and if that\'s the case, then I don\'t think he gets there as the horse hasn\'t shown an ability to or affinity for passing horses.
If we can throw the fav out, we have a chance to make some dough in the pick 4 and pick 6 as I think most cappers will look at the race and single the 2.
I would play the 5, Masterful Miss, based on the race shape and the sheet numbers. If the 2 doesn\'t get the lead and chucks it in, Masterful Miss is the likely winner and could create some value in the multi-race exotics.
Anyone have any thoughts?
