On the other hand, they could also lose face if the horse runs poorly, or even worse, injures himself in the race. I don\'t think anyone would blame them for not running a hurting horse. I agree that it is their philosophy to look to the long-term picture, including the long-term value of the horse, and might not want to take on BB until they are at their best. They have the patience to wait for Breeder\'s Cup if it was to their horse\'s advantage.
Then again, this is also pure speculation and you make some valid points too. I think the main issue will be, is the horse fit to run - if not, I think they will wait.
in any case, if he scratches, this will be a terrible loss to the race, both in betting terms and general interest. BB is a freak and CD may also be a freak and is the only horse with a legitimate chance of beating BB, unless he regresses even more.
Bob