Roller-- first of all, Len, Michael and Jimbo all liked FK more than I did.
I played the last 4 races at Belmont individualy, and as a pick 4, because they were betting a way-too-slow maiden winner in the first leg, and I thought I could beat the big favorite in the Mother Goose. If you beat those two you had to eliminate 90% of the tickets. I went 3 x 2 x 4 x 2.
In the seventh I boxed 3 horses, they ended up in the 4 horse blanket at the wire, I ran 1-2-4, got the exacta but not the tri. I used the winner half as much in pick 4s as the other two.
In the Mother Goose I boxed two, got put up into the exacta. I used the winner 3 times as much in pick 4s.
So now I get to the Suburban, where I used 4 horses, and played it flat. Since 3 of them were 9/2 or less and one was 40-1, it wasn\'t too hard to figure out to key FK. Within the race, I would have done just as well running second (or third, but not behind the one that ran third). It was strictly an odds play for me. But it made a huge difference for the pick 4.
I was live with the winner and third finisher of the last. I think I won that photo by an inch or less, for 20-25% of the pool (after takeout).
Two things-- first of all, as I\'ve said here before,in the short run photos have a huge impact on your results-- since everything is so leveraged in this game, going 7-3 vs. 3-7 is gigantic.
Secondly, it all evens out. I had been getting killed on photos for months. I could have lost the photo in the first leg (though I did have 3 of the 4), or the last, and FK didn\'t win by that much, which would have made a hell of a difference. But in one day I got back months of photos.
