My guess for the ROTW is......

[covelj70]

....The Ashland

Stardom Bound seems crazy vulnerable at what will likely be odds on and my bet is that\'s where TG lands for ROTW.

Let\'s see if I can at least get that right this weekend.  If not, maybe I should play it easier when the races actually start.

Is picking the ROTW a leading indicator for picking any of the right horses over the weekend?

[RICH]

I don\'t know about ROTW, however, SB is a major, major bet against.

[RICH]

.... there is a great bet in this race, very obvious from the sheets, sire and trainer pattern.

[covelj70]

Dream Empress is the second choice on the ML and that one doesn\'t seem to have much of a chance either.

I like Gozzip Girl alot better than Be Fair in this one.

Be Fair is fast and has a nice looking pattern but she is a half to Macho Again who is terrific on the dirt but I wouldn\'t bet him in a 25k claimer on the synthetic or turf and I can\'t play this one with too much confidence because of that.

[RICH]

Macho again is by Macho uno, Be fair is by exchange rate, there is a load of difference there IMO, especially on a synth track.

[covelj70]

none of the offspring of the dam have run well on turf and I don\'t think exchange rate is so much of a synthetic sire that he can trump the bottom side\'s inability to turf.

I will take the dynaformer out of the kingmanbo mare (Gozzip Girl) that is a point or two slower on the sheets but with a nice pattern over what I view as a fast horse with a good pattern but a suspect pedigree to run on the syntheic with Be Fair.

[TGJB]

ROTW will be the Carter, Ashland is too complicated. Agree on taking a shot at SB, but I think you have to spread out. Beating her and cashing are two different things.

[covelj70]

hah, thanks JB.

Don\'t I know that beating the chalk and cashing are two different things.

I am still waiting for Denis of Cork to pass Da\'Tara in the stretch at the Belmont.

[Lost Cause]

covelj70 Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> hah, thanks JB.
>
> Don\'t I know that beating the chalk and cashing
> are two different things.
>
> I am still waiting for Denis of Cork to pass
> Da\'Tara in the stretch at the Belmont.


You had to bring up bad memories...my heart just sank...

[covelj70]

sorry, I will never get over it.  I was sitting right at the top of the stretch and swore that DoC was going to go right by DaTara.  I would have cashed for 6 figures if DoC won and then I didn\'t even get decent payouts on DoC to place and show even with the 1/5 shot finishing out of the money.  Tough game but....tomorrow is another day!

[Michael D.]

covelj70 Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> none of the offspring of the dam have run well on
> turf and I don\'t think exchange rate is so much of
> a synthetic sire that he can trump the bottom
> side\'s inability to turf.
>
> I will take the dynaformer out of the kingmanbo
> mare (Gozzip Girl) that is a point or two slower
> on the sheets but with a nice pattern over what I
> view as a fast horse with a good pattern but a
> suspect pedigree to run on the syntheic with Be
> Fair.


Good read. That horse lost a lot of ground, more than it should have.

[covelj70]

Thanks, I listened to Jerry\'s advice and keyed the horse instead of singling which worked alot better given the bomber on top.