I don\'t understand taking 6-1 a month out on a horse that will be at least 4-1 in the race, since what happened is exactly what can happen (and I brought up with Jimbo the idea that QR specifically had to get there first). They can also draw post 20 (yeah, I know Big Brown did it).
I played nobody in the first 2 pools, 3 horses in the last one, because I saw some horses that looked like contenders that could go off significantly shorter on Derby day. One was Old Fashioned (he\'s likely to win the Aks Derby convincingly, which would probably mean he would go off 6-1 or so in the Derby), one was Charitable Man (doesn\'t figure to go unless he runs well in the Blue Grass, but if he does will be a lot less than 40-1 in the Derby), and the third was Regal Ransom (will be part of an entry in the Derby which will go off a good deal shorter than 40-1). Smaller bets on the last two.