???????????

[TGJB]

Is there a rule that if you took high school geometry you can\'t get a trainer\'s license? Can\'t believe the draw decisions.

[BB]

who is making the funny decisions? (not near a tv) please don\'t say Godolphin.

[dlf]

TGJB,
I know you have mentioned in the past that you can\'t get the CD Sat sheets up until you get the final from Equibase, but with the draw being at noon this year, instead of the usual 5 pm, is there any chance we will have access to them around 6 or 7 pm, instead of the usual 10 pm?
I ask because I don\'t want to have to sit around my office waiting to print....
Thanks!

[MonmouthGuy]

Here they are:

1. West Side Bernie (30-1)
2. Musket Man (20-1)
3. Mr Hot Stuff (30-1)
4. Advice (30-1)
5. Hold Me Back (15-1)
6. Friesan Fire (5-1)
7. Pappa Clem (20-1)
8. Mine that Bird (50-1)
9. Join in the Dance (50-1)
10. Regal Ransom (30-1)
11. Chocolate Candy (20-1)
12. General Quarters (20-1)
13. I Want Revenge (3-1)
14. Atomic Rain (50-1)
15. Dunkirk (4-1)
16. Pioneerof the Nile (4-1)
17. Summer Bird (50-1)
18. Nowhere to Hide (50-1)
19. Desert Party (15-1)
20. Flying Private (50-1)

[TGJB]

If that speeds up when Equibase sends them, yes.

Godolphin chose 19 for Desert Party with 1,2 and 3 open. Others (like Pletcher and Baffert) were equally nuts.

But really don\'t understand the logic of using Dominguez and taking an outside post.

[BB]

The two speeds right next to each other. Great draws for Mott and Jones.

[Halo Fire]

TGJB,

Whats your thoughts on the M/L?

[TGJB]

That\'s why God invented seminars.

[bellsbendboy]

Looking forward to the seminar but have a different take on the trainers decisions.  

Baffert knew that Pletcher was picking immediately behind him and reasoned that his colt had more early lick, so he took 16.  If Pletcher takes 15, (likely), this gives him a buffer to his inside because there is a gap between the gates with the first fourteen horses in the main gate, and the balance in the auxillary.
 
bin Suroor did not want any part of the inside.  At Churchill, a ten panel race starts out of the chute, and the chute is bent inward much like a worn out paper clip.  

The oddity or poor decision was from the Chocalate Candy crowd. Picking third they chose number 11 which puts them standing in the gate for what will seem like an eternity while the \"last\" 18 are loaded.  Just my take. bbb

[RICH]

Baffert had the 5th selection, Pletcher the 6th, they chose 15 and 16 posts. I think MM and WSB got very lucky in the one and two posts considering they had the 18th and last selections, should save some ground somewhere.

[TGJB]

Last time I looked the rail had won this race more times than any other post.

[Uncle Buck]

What\'s with Dunkirk being installed at 4-1 with no graded stakes wins? Strange, but then again - it\'s Mike B making the line. Here\'s my stab at off odds:

. West Side Bernie (40-1)
2. Musket Man (16-1)
3. Mr Hot Stuff (45-1)
4. Advice (80-1)
5. Hold Me Back (12-1)
6. Friesan Fire (5-1)
7. Pappa Clem (11-1)
8. Mine that Bird (70-1)
9. Join in the Dance (75-1)
10. Regal Ransom (22-1)
11. Chocolate Candy (13-1)
12. General Quarters (22-1)
13. I Want Revenge (2-1)
14. Atomic Rain (80-1)
15. Dunkirk (6-1)
16. Pioneerof the Nile (3-1)
17. Summer Bird (70-1)
18. Nowhere to Hide (90-1)
19. Desert Party (14-1)
20. Flying Private (200-1)....LOL

[jimbo66]

The math doen\'t work Buck.  Unless Churchill raises the takeout in the win pool to about 25%.  You never know with the powers to be in horse racing.....

The favorites won\'t be as short as you have them.  No 2-1 on IWR, nor 3-1 on POTN, and certainly not 11-1 on Pappa Clem. Your mid-range horses look about right.

72 hours to go.  The adrenislan is starting to flow.  Over/under on the superfecta is $30,000 for a $1......

[Uncle Buck]

We will see. I can\'t see IWR much higher than 3-1 with those IEAH silks on but what do I know really. I think there\'s a significant chance three of the top 5 betting choices will land in the super.

[smalltimer]

Not this decade though