Eskendereya Out

[jack72906]

Yep. I wish he was in. The prices on MI and Endorsement are shrinking exponentially.

[sekrah]

Let\'s find a escrow and make a wager on that Mr. Delaware Park Morning Line Handicapper.

I wager Dublin will be higher than 10-1 ML, nor will his final odds.

[sekrah]

You like MI? Hrm.  Haven\'t seen too much ink on him around on here..   What do you like about him?

[alm]

Mike

What do you think about this filly?

[jack72906]

I just like him to hit the bottom half of the Super with a slight move forward. He needs to improve by at least 10 lengths IMO to win or place.

[MonmouthGuy]

Jack.  Take this for what it\'s worth but I am not hearing great things about how Endorsement is taking to the Churchill Downs strip.

Good luck on Saturday.

[sekrah]

Makes sense.  He didn\'t like it on November 26th, 2009 either in his Maiden Debut.

[jack72906]

Thanks MG. It\'s worth A LOT more hearing it here as opposed to the \"experts\" anywhere else.

Good luck to you.

[jbelfior]

I think at this point playing anything Pletcher puts in the gate is not the way to go
The guy is O-24 in this race for a reason. Pennants are not won in April or May and KY Derbies are not won in February or March.

Good Luck,
Joe B.

[Ill-bred]

Saw the filly this morning at CD, and she looked GREAT.

[MO]

Do you always seek prop bets when you can\'t pick the winner? I have no need or desire to get into a battle of egos with you. I\'ve made my pick and if you are at Foxwood\'s, I\'ll be happy to show you the ticket, most likely $100 WP on SS. Good luck.

[jimbo66]

big18741,

Her race at Gulf was very good.  For the day, I don\'t believe the last 1/8th was slow.  She is now the top fig (or co-top fig) horse, if you factor weight.

As for breeding, I don\'t know, but the connections were pointing her for the Belmont after the Oaks until just recently and were quoted last October as saying that they wished the BC Juvy Fillies was 1 3/4 miles.  I am going to assume that she gets the distance.  

As for price, I \"guesstimate\" 10-1.

Jim

[analizethis]

She comes in tied for the second best three year top in the field (before getting weight) with the distance challenged Noble\'s Promise. Her pattern is x-x-t. There were real (I guess) excuses for those x races but I really wonder if she has enough experience in this spot. Over the last three years three fillies have run in the nine Triple Crown races and finished first, second and first so I tend to believe that they don\'t run unless their connections believe that they have a big shot.

And all of the reports about the way she has looked in the morning are similar. “As good as any on the track.”

[jack72906]

Not much to dislike about her except for the 5 point jump and the fact that other than the BC race, all of her races have had small fields. 6-6-12-7-8. For anyone that\'s seen her in person, does she look big enough to handle the obvious bouncing around she\'s going to get?

I\'m tossing the BC race because of the Pro Ride but she\'s had trouble of some sorts in every race except the last. Blinkers, a decent post, and anything higher than 10-1 is a must use IMO.

[miff]

Al,

Talk about the \"wise guy\" horse. Figures on numbers but her last was a perfect set up against Amen Hallelujah who did all the running in there.DMC\'s priors were nothing to write home about.Last year TAP loved this filly and thought she was special but she had some excuses,trips/surface.Liked her in the Oaks alot.

As a 3 yr old filly she gets weight but not really as she is against colts which offsets.Big,tough filly should be ok physically with the boys.All the rage in the am and her works good but she is a one fig wonder who will get bet and has a punchers chance, like the other 19.

TAP barn devastated by what they felt was a great chance in Esky. Bad karma may be with TAP runners and plan to toss all out of most slots esp SS.This one hung badly in his last against Line Of David off a perfect trip.Tasted defeat against Odysseus, Schoolyard Dreams, Homeboychris, Discreetly Mine.Two lifetime wins on front end which he can\'t get here barring gate trouble for several faster early.

Esky out throws this race into a \"pick one out of the hat race\" imo. Horses I disliked before are all now possible. LAL is the likely favorite and even he carries  bad back issues from the past and is not that fast although his best race was on dirt(you can say that for just about every other Cali entrant)

If I thought SC could rate off and still fire, I would stand there. SC is faster than his figs but will he dirt??

Tough call, bummer Esky\'s out as that would have been a good stand on ability and accomplishment imo. Obviously did not have the resiliency/soundness to get into the gate Sat.

Good Luck

Mike