Yes, they both project to bounce, but how much? Used to be when young ones ran this big, we could expect a big bounce, depending on the amount of time since the effort, the previous top and line that led to it. That may be what happens, Machen, a current example, bounced over 9 points but he came back on 28 days rest. Travelin Man has 51 days since his debut and Soldat 36 days since his last. The latter is off a big jump whereas Ricky Nelson exploded right out of the gate and trainer Pletcher seems well aware of that. The point is while they both enter off the same top, they got to it differently and the time off is also markedly different. The question above remains as to their respective chances and that makes both the Hutch and FOY real tricky to handicap confidently which frankly is why we didn\'t choose either for the ROTW.
I think one could use both horses as case studies since 3yos in the future at some point are likely to show similar lines and simultaneously raise goosebumps and consternation.
