Bridrun in the Brooklyn

[jimbo66]

Tough to see Javier getting that one home at 1 1/4 when Chatterpaul enters two rabbits in the race.  Got to wonder what he is thinking.

[Wrongly]

Jim

No love for a group 3 runner getting first lasix and 5 lbs and likely to run a new top?  I think this is the best betting race of the day.  GP was short horse in this same spot last year; won, but that was a pretty weak field.  I doubt SS can wire this field; might use him, but it will be underneath (also take a look at the note beside his last fig).  Liking a 3 horse box here VN, WI, AK.

[TGJB]

Okay, you gotta tell me what you like about Trappe Shot.

[jimbo66]

Ok TGJB, but you won\'t like it.

I think the horse proved last year that he is better around two turns.  If you back to his last sprint as a 3-year old, he ran a negative 1 and change in June of his 3 year old season.  You probably think he bounced off those efforts and will bounce again, now that got back to the negative 1 and change first time out this year.  I say he got back to his top because he is back sprinting, where he belongs.  He ran the negative 1 and change will getting what I would have called a \"capital T\", bobbling badly at the start.  Now that he is 4, and presumably a stronger race, assuming he doesn\'t bobble, why can\'t he move forward, now that he is sprinting.  

D\'Funnybone hasn\'t run as fast as Trappe Shot.  Wildcat Heir\'s fast numbers are at Monmouth, which I don\'t find to be a coincidence and he bounces off the big ones anyway.  Rule By Night is a bit scary,but only off the one figure.  Calibrochoa had phyiscal issues and even if he didn\'t, I would need to see the big numbers somewhere besides Aqueduct.  This One\'s for PHil bounced last time off the big number and AGAIN, his big race was at Monmouth this year.

I understand that \"rested\", I have you at 1-5 to put up Calibrochoa in the analysis, but I need to see it somewhere besides Aqueduct in the winter.

[TGJB]

It\'s the Tapit/Private Account that makes you think he\'s a sprinter?

We won\'t both be cashing this one. Maybe neither.

[jimbo66]

No, not at all TGJB.  It is the figures that make me think that..... (isn\'t it always about the figures?)

[richiebee]

Wont be betting a 5 horse Brooklyn, but am still stinging from the 2010 edition.

Gabriel Hill, a Michael D selection, lead almost every step of the way in an
agonizing 2:30 crawl at 18/1, getting nailed by Alcomo and Bejarano with about
2 jumps left. The Brooklyn/Belmont double with Drossle was returning over $600,
but the OTB vig may have negated tax liability. I had a $15 ticket on that double
if memory serves.

I walk by that still vacant OTB on 48th Street in Manhattan almost every day of
the week so the memory of that 2010 Brooklyn beat remains fresh.

[TGJB]

Jimbo--OR... when he runs that fast it just knocks the tar out of him, and it wasn\'t about the distance.

Not a big fan of older horses who run big efforts off layoffs, especially when they need a new top to have a real shot. And especially as one of the favorites.

[cigar10]

Alma D\'Oro at 8-1 looks pretty good from this porch.

El Daafer - Too slow for 8 races.
Drosselmeyer - Probably should have gotten back to his number by now.
Afleet Again - Has failed to replicate 2010 form
Birdrun - Not impossible, he\'s right there.

[RICH]

I can\'t see Gio Ponti off the dubai trip, the high weight, not for me. I\'ll take Al Khalia and prince will I am over Gio

[covelj70]

I don\'t like Viscount Nelson running off 7 days rest and a cross country ship.  

Could always be wrong about that but the quick turnaround and ship will keep him off my ticket!

[RICH]

2 alum pads on

[alm]

You\'re talking about Birdrun, right?

[RICH]

yes sir

[alm]

I can be wrong, but according to my old fashioned way of looking at these things, that makes him DOA.  If the pads aren\'t enough he\'s also saddled with a jockey who just doesn\'t seem to be able to focus around 2 turns.  The Brooklyn should be a chalkeater\'s delight.