1-- Condition move-- sounds like you\'re one of the guys who switched products. Given that he ran a 2 point top in his next it\'s easy to say yes...now. But one day I would like to hear Friedman give a coherent definition of the term.
2-- Grand Adventure-- first of all, younger horses and older ones are different matters, as are recovery lines and developing ones. If he was a 4yo I might agree, if he was 3, definitely. But this is a different issue-- the play is based on the idea that he went off form and is coming back around, not heading to a new top.
(Re both 1 and 2-- in general the other guys are a lot more dogmatic than we are. We take a more overall view of the horse and race, they are pretty much fundamentalists. If you read our ROTW\'s, which are archived on this site, I think you\'ll see what I mean. And if you come to one of the Saratoga seminars next year you definitely will, at least if I give it).
3-- Yes, if that horse is 20-1 I will probably use him in the mix. The ROTW is a discussion for educational purposes (essentially showing people how to use our data), not really a discussion of betting strategy, at least most of the time. I was discussing his pattern, not really his viability at a big price. I would add that he\'s more usable because he\'s a grass horse than he would be otherwise, simply because grass horses run a higher percentage of tops.
Re someone else\'s comment about lasix moving up Euros 2 points-- that MIGHT work as an average, but lasix makes a much bigger difference for some horses than others. It appears to be true of Goldikova, but not the others coming out of the same races who come here, for example, who just run to their Euro figures.
