P.Eckert,
Perfect example, there are many others.In projection, the clock(the only science) is sometimes ignored and the names of the runners in the race and what they usually run trumps all.A review of the Beyer figs shows an even greater difference between Wrote and CV.Anyone have Rags?The 4 lb weight difference noted.
The answer to this question that some fig makers give is simply \"how likely is it that a 2yr old ran almost as fast as older grade 1\'s without running away farther from that 2 yr old field\" In one case, they are projecting off older stakes horses running in the zero-1 range,in the other, juvies, off like 8\'s,raw ignored.
It makes little sense that two races run over a course with no real change in speed(if anything faster for CV race) are that close in final time,so the answer was to ditch the clock and go off history of the participants in both races.Pace was not really a big issue, imo.
I have seen Lebron outscored by a sub, the best pitchers get knocked out in the first inning by the worst hitting team, Albert Pujols slump and many great athletes under perform. In racing, there is no such thing when making figures.
It\'s impossible that an empty Goldikova, a common slug like CV and the rest were almost performance matched by a 2 yr old.
Mike
