As I am taking advantage of the free data this week (many thanks), I see a 2YO in this race with a turf pedigree who is essentially a 4YO now making his 2nd start off the break, and who eclipsed his previous best last out.
That is #10 Spoonful, ML of 4:1.
Now, Scootles has better back figs, but it seems to me he went off the reservation in his last two. Can a 2YO move forward 10 pts to get back to his best? Or is the TG analysis on this horse due to the trainer change?