I get what you\'re saying about race setup, but I\'ve been burnt too many times by deep closers in the Derby. They\'re great bets to fill out the super, but not to win. Too much has to go right. The Blue Grass is a good example. Kent D admitted that a hole opened up at the perfect time for him to get through, and he won by a length and a half. Now he\'s got to do it against 7 more, and better, horses.
How much better was Ice Box than Super Saver on that day? Still not good enough. I can\'t play him on top of this field at 8-1.