I try to stick with current form cycle as much as I can but if I can find a reason why that horse ran bad (poly, slop, turf, off slow,taken up, Dead rail, race shape victim, dutrow off and now back on, etc..) in those races after that top and it\'s a price I would consider playing it to get back to that top always keeping in mind that horse might have just got hurt after the top and might never get back to it. It\'s all about risk/reward so if the odds are worth taking a shot then I would go for it. Once again though if the raceshapes don\'t seem to favor him I might take a pass.
Everyone has their favortie angle, mine is race setup and potential improvement from year to year (sire profile left side of sheet), yours will be whatever you feel you have the most success with and there really is no right/wrong. One guy I know will only play the fastest horses regardless if they are both suicide speed horses, I think someone here calls it being a slave to the numbers but he does pretty good.
MoosePalm hit it on the head..Ever since using the sheets I lose a lot less
