Late pk4 play sure to go wrong:
R8 - So difficult to know what to do with the course condition if it is drying out all day, but the turf will almost assuredly be yielding, the only question will be how much standing water (if any) there is. I\'m against Miz, and am using 7,2,4,1 in that order, the most speculative of those being the 4, who I think will run a top today, but still might not be good enough. Who knows if we are looking for speed or a closer, but I think Miz compromises any speed and cant last on soggy turf
R9 - Expecting some explosive speed battles here on a drying out track that could be tiring, but again, so hard to know the rate at which the track is going to dry out. I\'m just going to use the closers and hope I get lucky, with preference to FortyTales and CapoBostone given their number power, but also use Declans Warrior and Clearly Now
R10 - Posted at length about this already. The rail is going to be dreadful and POE will either make a mistake by attempting to race on it, or give up ground advantage trying to maneuver off the rail, and I think he\'s running his 2 here, not his zero. Tons of horses in play then, but I will spread big with 3,5,7,8,10
R11 - I really think that anyone who tells you they have a strong opinion about this race is kidding themselves, and will the track be dried out by then? Will a dead rail emerge? As if the horses weren\'t enough trouble to figure out, we have uncertain conditions.
While I wish I could hit the all button here, I\'ll go with 2,5,6,13,14 and will most likely key the filly unless something in the earlier dirt races suggests a bias that needs closer attention. Good luck to all!
