ROTW

[Silver Charm]

Like the selection of Twilight Eclipse. Has clearly gotten better this year as indicated, and ehile the sample is small in TG Sire Index, Twight Agendas get real good at 4 also. Has handled this distance twice while its still a bit of an unknown for Boisterous who however looked really good winning his last stretching out. The key between these two is TE will be at least twice the price.

In the area of non-handicapping info is it really accurate that TE sold for $1,000 at Keeneland in Jan of 2010!! wow!!

[Rick B.]

I guess I don\'t get the \"way overrated\" comment
about Big Blue Kitten: he\'s only won 4 of his
last 6, has 9 lifetime wins out of 16 races, and
has been off the board once...is there some
barn full of Grade I winners around that tried to
enter the Sword Dancer but couldn\'t get in?

Also, disagree that this one needs to run a new
top to win. This is a weak field for a Grade I
race, and a 2 might get it done: of the two horses
with significantly faster tops, one has developed
the \"in & out\"pattern (today is the \"out\"), and the
other might not ever see the wood.

No surprise at all to me if Twilight Eclipse and
Boisterous don\'t hit the board, while Bravo saves
all the ground and gets Big Blue Kitten \"only\" his
10th lifetime win.

[justwin]

Rick, your scenario is certainly possible, that\'s horse racing. If they ran the race a few times your scenario would happen and so would mine. I see big blue kitten as a consistent horse that will either need a new top or both twilight and boisterous not running near their tops. I like the twilight\'s pattern where he ran a new top, bounced, and came right back to that top. I expect a new twilight top today and will play the race that way. Good luck.
George

[Rick B.]

No real quibble, George, other than ROTW and
Analysis product frequently leave me scratching
my head and asking:

\"Why do they hate THIS horse?\"

No, I don\'t think I can do better; I just don\'t
try to beat the favorites in darn near every race,
which still win 1/3 of the time, are in the exacta
1/2 of the time, and hit the board 70% of the time.

[jimbo66]

Would agree with the ROTW that twilight eclipse looks good.  Also agree with Rick that there is nothing wrong with big blue kitten.  At this distance, which he likes, he should be tough.  Will only use those two

The biggest problem I have with the race is the figure optimizer got last out, which makes him look \"live@ instead of \"over the top\", which I think he is.   He balked at the gate, showed no speed, was never in contention, a dull 5th.   Gets a pair up and a nice looking line\' especially at the weights.  

Probably put him in the winners circle with this post, but he looks much worse to me than he does on his Thorograph sheet

[P-Dub]

Rick B. Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> I guess I don\'t get the \"way overrated\" comment
> about Big Blue Kitten: he\'s only won 4 of his
> last 6, has 9 lifetime wins out of 16 races, and
> has been off the board once...is there some
> barn full of Grade I winners around that tried to
> enter the Sword Dancer but couldn\'t get in?
>
> Also, disagree that this one needs to run a new
> top to win. This is a weak field for a Grade I
> race, and a 2 might get it done: of the two
> horses
> with significantly faster tops, one has developed
> the \"in & out\"pattern (today is the \"out\"), and
> the
> other might not ever see the wood.
>
> No surprise at all to me if Twilight Eclipse and
> Boisterous don\'t hit the board, while Bravo saves
> all the ground and gets Big Blue Kitten \"only\"
> his
> 10th lifetime win.

Nice call Rick.