Saturday Insanity Anita

[richiebee]

To me, an outstanding opportunity to take advantage of the TG $8 P4 promotion.

In the first leg, there are 4 or 5 runners arguably faster on TGs than the
5/2 ML Bonde/Bejarano favorite.

Leg 2, Race 7, the San Marcos, 14 entered in a 10 furlong Grade II on the
lawn. This is a legit GII with 6 of the 14 entered being graded stakes
winners.

Leg 3, the Robert Lewis, all 7 entrants Triple Crown nominated.

The final leg is a competitive turf mile for 32/28K claimers with 10 set to
go. Usually at SA the final race of the day, the banker race in the P4 and
P6, is a dirt cheap claimer or maiden claimer, nice to close the day with a
more formful race.

Read someone somewhere commenting on the strength of the jockey colony at
Gulfstream. Stevens, Smith, Bejarano, Tyler Baze, Talamo, a revived Nakatani,
Espinoza, Pedroza, Garcia, in addition to two competent bug riders --Orozco
and Van Dyke -- that is a very strong room.

[shanahan]

Hey Richie!  Let\'s post the pik 4s.  I\'ll do GP, you handle SA?  Be done by 10 EST on this end.
No one posts handicapping anymore.  Let\'s start a trend.

[richiebee]

Shan:

I will accept this assignment. If anything, savvy T-generates who are familiar
with my work (I do not think I\'ve posted a winner since Eddington won the
Pimlico Special) will have some easy SA toss outs.

[shanahan]

Gulfstream has 3 pik 4 opps today.  Race 2,5,9.

Race 9, leg one I will spread and the wining # will have to be a 7 or better.
Most of the horses I will use will be double digits - 2,4,7,8,9.  #9 is Motion and Prado with a Kitten\'s Joy offspring.

Race 10 - #5 is a justifiable fav for shug/castellano.  If you play a trifecta in this short field, it\'sworth noting that Bocachica wins @11% at GP, but 21% with this particular TR (and almost half of his mounts are for same TR - #4 underneath.  #4 will be on the lead.

Race 11 - lots of speed here going 7f.  Spreading with 1,2,6,8,10,11.

Race 12 - 1,8,9,10.  Speed in reliable hands (connections) but I expect that 8&10 hook up in a speed dual, leaving Mr. Ramsay\'s #9 to pick it all up with Pletcher\'s #6.  Using just the 6,9 in this leg.  So...it\'s 5x1x6x2= $30 before scr.
Good luck to all.

[richiebee]

Race 6 is NW2LT and as I have stated this is a race where the ML favorite for
Bejarano has no real figure edge on most of her competition. Will use her and
five others. Danger here is that if Bejarano wins, I will be lucky to recover
my investment on a potential \"winning\" ticket.

Race 7, San Marcos, will spread using six. The ones I prefer are #10 Bio Pro
(a pair would make him competitive, but this is arguably the toughest field
he has had to face)(pattern says 62% chance of pair or top) and #13,
Temeraine for the very productive Proctor/Stevens pairing.

Race 8, Robert Lewis, spread using logical selections (according to ML) 1,3,7.

My preferred pick here would be Chitu, the \"other\" Baffert colt in this race.
The theory is that Martin Garcia will be instructed to go as fast as he can
as far as he can. Chitu is coming in off 2 winning sprints with two recent,
fast half mile works. Sired by Henny Hughes, who never won past 7 furlongs in
his short career, Chitu is probably distance limited, but could be pace
advantaged in this spot.

Race 9, using arguably the 2 fastest on TGs and hoping for a trip.


1,2,4,5,6,7/1,2,6,7,10,13/1,3,7/7,9 x $.50 = $108

TV tip for the day: HBO\'s \"True Detective\", through three episodes, is well
acted and well written.

[TGJB]

Re True Detective-- well acted, yes. Well directed, yes.

Well written??? We\'ve talked about navel gazing here before. Effen guy needs an editor BAD. Fontana and Milch did the cops talking to each other thing much better (with 1/10th the words) on Homicide and NYPD Blue.

The entire last episode had almost no plot points-- nothing happened except excruciating dialogue. I\'m going to stick with it for a while more just to see if something ever happens.

[belmont3]

I\'ll add my SA pik 4.

6) Reasonable amount of speed in this 2 lifer. Prefer the 2 on the turn back and nice sprint # although it is isolated. Crap shoot if u add others: 4, 6, 8 my adds. Think the 7 will be over bet and I am leaving him off one ticket in my price quest.
7) the 2 fastest look like 2 and 6 although Jeranimo a bit long in the tooth (that means old) and seldom runs 2 alike. So need to add 7, 10 and 12, 13 & 14 on a stretch ticket.  .
Banking on the 3 being overbet. Saw video work and looks like he had him running at a stablemate in stretch (yes I am fearful of him but hoping the bearing in etc. indicates a reaction is on the horizon)  So I see Chitu on the lead as far as he goes. Will use the 1 Candy Joy off Shared Belief race on the dirt switch. Throwing in Shirreffs Cool Samurai if race falls apart up front.
9) The late scratches of the 5 and 10 helped me on this one. 7 and 9 look best.
Will add 348 on a stretch ticket.
TICKET 1

6) 2                                  
7) 2, 6, 7, 10, 12, 13 14              
1 5 7  
9) 3,4,7,8,9                              
$52.5                                  
TICKET 2

6) 2,4,5,6,7,8
7) 2, 6. 7, 10
1, 5, 7
9) 7, 9

$60.00

Bob

[richiebee]

JB:

Did not follow Homicide, but it is hard to compare NYPD Blue, which had
multiple plot lines and an ensemble cast, with TD, which is focusing on the
relationship between two main characters.

The on location work in Louisiana is outstanding. The prosthetic hair on the
younger Woody Harrelson should win an award.

Pretty obvious that one or both of the main characters is a suspect in the
murder which has taken place in the present, will be interesting to see how
they twist it.

[sekrah]

Blingo overlay of the year?

[sekrah]

Great ride Mike, Thank you!

[P-Dub]

Homicide was a great show.

My Pick 4:

6: 2,5,7. Could be a decent pace for the #5 to close into.
7: 1,2,6,7.  
8: 1,3,6,7. #6 could spice up the price, Ran well 1st route and could appreciate some pace here for his late kick.
9: 6,7,9

3x4x4x3 (.50) = $72

[sekrah]

2,5,6,8
2,6,10
1,3,5,7
4,7,9

$1 - $144

[P-Dub]

sekrah Wrote:
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> Blingo overlay of the year?


You talking about the horse that wasn\'t mentioned in the ROTW and wasn\'t posted by anybody else??

[sekrah]

I don\'t care about anyone elses analysis.  I loved him to death.

[P-Dub]

sekrah Wrote:
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> I don\'t care about anyone elses analysis.  I loved
> him to death.


That\'s great Sekrah, and happy for your cash.

This isn\'t Facebook.

If you don\'t post before a race, why post after?? Otherwise, how many posts would we have from people hitting a race??