ROTW

[sekrah]

My analysis not that all different.

Rankhaspriveleges - Too Slow
Tapiture - Fastest. Good spacing coming into here, decent chance to run near his best with ground saving trip.  X is more forgiving than a normal X as it took place in the Derby.  Deserved favorite IMO.
Rise Up - Big underlay at 3-1.  Likely retreating from that 7f top here.  I\'d be inclined to leave off my exotics even.
Conquest Titan - I read this one slightly stronger than the analysis.  Birdstone colt that ran a 5 as a 2yo?  Good rest.  That Ark Derby has proven to be pretty stout as well.
Almost Famous - Another massive underlay.  Almost certain to react to that last effort. Byrne a disaster in stakes races.  
The Admiral - This one probably a miler, but has the good number (4) and the spacing to run it again and hit the board.  Must use.
Ulanbator - I\'m going to nitpick this one.  Just a hunch, but I think he reacts to that last effort at 7f and the post blows.  Nice price and you probably gotta use him in the backend.  But he\'d surprise me if he won.

In love with Tapiture here.  I think 2-1 deserves a win bet (possible you get that price if no scratches).

I\'m a bit stronger on Conquest Titan than the analysis is and I\'ll be using him underneath.  A bit softer on Ulbanator.

[richiebee]

Sekrah:

1) Nice analysis.

2) I have philosophical differences with CD which prevent me from wagering a
single shekel there except for 1 day per year. Takeout is one issue; neglect of
FG is another.

3) Why are you surprised that a product of Birdstone hung up a TG 5 as a 2YO?
Birdstone himself broke his maiden in the Spa slop with a TG 2¹ and
took the Champagne at Bel with a TG 4.

[belmont3]

Richie,

If TG horse racing figs is the Final Jeopardy Category, I suggest you go ALL IN!

Bob

[richiebee]

Bob:

Only sticks in my mind because of recent visits to the Archive.

Certainly would be an also ran in any Jeopardy like joust regarding historical TG
figs.

[Bet Twice]

Tough race to get too excited about.  6 of the 7 look look like they could win with none of them really standing out - slight nod going to tapiture but no lock.  Also agree with Richieebee - F#!* CDI

[sekrah]

My point on Birdstone was that since this one has ran a 5 as a 2yo and 3yo Birdstone\'s do their best running at this time of the year, he is due to move forward and run a big one.  That\'s why I liked him a little more.

[Topcat]

richiebee Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Sekrah:
>
> 1) Nice analysis.
>
> 2) I have philosophical differences with CD which
> prevent me from wagering a
> single shekel there except for 1 day per year.
> Takeout is one issue; neglect of
> FG is another.
>
> 3) Why are you surprised that a product of
> Birdstone hung up a TG 5 as a 2YO?
> Birdstone himself broke his maiden in the Spa slop
> with a TG 21 and
> took the Champagne at Bel with a TG 4.

Was at the scene of the crime for Spa debut.   Zito in the mud . . . whatta shock!