Author Topic: 3 observations  (Read 1036 times)

Polamalu43

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Re: 3 observations
« Reply #15 on: April 21, 2015, 02:19:55 PM »
I apologize in advance, if its been pasted, but is there a link to see this work?  Please and thanks in advnace.

ajkreider

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Re: 3 observations
« Reply #16 on: April 21, 2015, 02:30:34 PM »
Link

Someone posted it in another string.

mjellish

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Re: 3 observations
« Reply #17 on: April 21, 2015, 02:42:35 PM »
I agree with this assessment.  But...

He\'s a stretch running colt that suddenly worked like a front runner, very fast early and tired noticeably late.  That could mean a few things.

1.) That he is particularly sharp right now and was eager to run.
2.) That he ran off on the exercise jock and they botched the work.
3.) That the stable wants him closer early and is trying to put some speed in him.
4.) They wanted a good stiff work to put some air into him and start to tighten the screws.


In any case, this is a pretty head strong colt.  But he seems to have come out of the work better than he was going in.  And that\'s what matter most IMO.

Beginner

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Re: 3 observations
« Reply #18 on: April 21, 2015, 03:22:34 PM »
I think it\'s a combination of 1 and 2 - eager to run, a bit of a botch on the work.  I watched a different video that showed the first 1/8 of a mile (pre-work) and DM is full of himself.  Breaks away from the pony way early and the exercise rider (who appears to be Leparoux) is holding him back hard for a good 100 yards waiting for Tepin to get going.  True he never passes him in the work, but does so in the gallop out which is cut off of the Derby workout video.

Refreshing to hear a trainer (even if he\'s the assistant) say something other than \"we got exactly what we were looking for.\"

miff

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Re: 3 observations
« Reply #19 on: April 21, 2015, 03:52:01 PM »
DM is eligible for Alw NW 1x, was drilled by Carpe Diem and now faces a few 800lb gorillas and he\'s slow, relative to many of these.Does it matter how he worked?
miff

mjellish

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Re: 3 observations
« Reply #20 on: April 21, 2015, 03:55:57 PM »
It could for Superfecta or Tri spots underneath.  Golden Soul, Commanding Curve, etc.  

Don\'t know that I could safely toss him off all my tickets.

bellsbendboy

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Re: 3 observations
« Reply #21 on: April 21, 2015, 04:02:14 PM »
Don\'t give him much chance to win, but he\'s bred to get the trip, likes to come from behind and there seems a lot of pace this year.  At some forty to one a useful sort to complete the verticals if he works back well Saturday  bbb

miff

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Re: 3 observations
« Reply #22 on: April 21, 2015, 04:06:03 PM »
MJ,

In another year maybe.Way too many fast/accomplished/consistent horses this year.Second stringers look possible,with help,to me, third stringers will need a many X\'s from good horses to hit the super.

Commanding Curve was a use at CD and worked big but that field not like this one.When the sheets come out and are reviewed hair will be falling out with this group.

Good luck
Mike
miff