1
Ask the Experts / Re: Suddenbreakingnews
« on: June 10, 2016, 09:44:59 PM »
I heard no less than half a dozen \"experts\" pick SBN on the radio today...
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2
Ask the Experts / Re: Creator vs Nehro
« on: May 05, 2016, 09:06:27 PM »
From Twitter:
@Jon_Sheets at the #RagozinSheets seminar @santaanitapark just released Mohaymen as his 2016 @KentuckyDerby selection. #Sharpie
@Jon_Sheets at the #RagozinSheets seminar @santaanitapark just released Mohaymen as his 2016 @KentuckyDerby selection. #Sharpie
3
Ask the Experts / Re: Computer-Robotic Wagering
« on: November 29, 2015, 03:04:18 PM »
NHC qualifier who uses CRW. My favorite quote: “I just know what my computer spits out,” Zhou says. “I ran my model – it took me, like, a minute, maybe two minutes – and I just plugged the numbers in. I don’t know a single horse or a single name, I just know they offered the right value.”
I qualified over the weekend. If I only beat one player, I hope it\'s him.
http://www.ntra.com/en/nhc/nhc-player-profiles/2015/11/25/nhc-player-profile-tony-zhou/
I qualified over the weekend. If I only beat one player, I hope it\'s him.
http://www.ntra.com/en/nhc/nhc-player-profiles/2015/11/25/nhc-player-profile-tony-zhou/
5
Ask the Experts / Re: Ty Jim
« on: June 06, 2015, 06:33:11 PM »
My sincere thanks, too - Slumber put me over the top in a $1,000 Derby Wars contest. I had the Tri several times. Thanks.
6
Ask the Experts / Re: AP,OMG and
« on: June 02, 2015, 03:49:28 PM »
miff Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> Rob,
>
>
> We\'ll leave the derby to rest.Believe horses can
> spend themselves pre race. Watched it and
> commented to my pals that I had never seen AP
> washy before a race,like pre derby.
>
>
> Pletcher has 31 horses entered thurs/fri/sat,
> wonder if the white mercedes is in town as he is
> winning at 40+% at Belmont.
>
> Mike
19 wins in 39 starts (49%) and 79% in the money. Yowza.
-------------------------------------------------------
> Rob,
>
>
> We\'ll leave the derby to rest.Believe horses can
> spend themselves pre race. Watched it and
> commented to my pals that I had never seen AP
> washy before a race,like pre derby.
>
>
> Pletcher has 31 horses entered thurs/fri/sat,
> wonder if the white mercedes is in town as he is
> winning at 40+% at Belmont.
>
> Mike
19 wins in 39 starts (49%) and 79% in the money. Yowza.
8
Ask the Experts / Re: Picks Only -- Innoculate yourself from Redboarding
« on: May 02, 2015, 09:31:21 AM »
Dortmund is my main key, over/under Mub, Firing Line, Frosted, Upstart. Whole slew of others in 3rd and 4th.
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Ask the Experts / Re: Who to use in place of El Kabier?
« on: May 01, 2015, 09:51:41 PM »
IMO, Bolo.
10
Ask the Experts / Re: Upstart
« on: April 28, 2015, 06:58:05 PM »
I know numbers are numbers, but Upstart looked completely gassed at the end of the Florida Derby to me. Can\'t imagine the added distance is going to help.
11
Ask the Experts / Re: Mubtaahij to run without Lasix
« on: April 28, 2015, 02:17:42 PM »
smalltimer Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> A couple weeks ago I watched the simulated \"Aerial
> View\" that you can click on.
> From the 1600 Meter point, which is 300 meters
> from the finish line, this dude explodes like Big
> Brown running past Gayego in the Preakness.
> No question in the Dubai race, Mub had run 1:39.61
> which puts him probably 12-15 lengths off a
> \"normal Derby run mile.\"
>
> I can give you the difference in fractions or tell
> you how to convert from meters to yards or yards
> to meters. If anyone is interested I can explain
> the difference in the Meydan course and CD in
> terms of run to the turn, lengths of stretch, % of
> banking on turns and straightaway, etc.
>
> I\'ll put a noise sheet out detailing the last 10
> Derby mile splits. Other than Bode and High Fly
> the mile time hasn\'t been that much different from
> one year to the other.
>
>
> Of the last 10 Derby\'s, the winner of the race, at
> the mile marker, has been anywhere from Big Brown
> on the lead, to Mine that Bird who was 8 lengths
> off.
>
> Good luck
Curious if you were able to calculate his closing time/fractions. If so, I\'d love to know what it was. Thanks.
-------------------------------------------------------
> A couple weeks ago I watched the simulated \"Aerial
> View\" that you can click on.
> From the 1600 Meter point, which is 300 meters
> from the finish line, this dude explodes like Big
> Brown running past Gayego in the Preakness.
> No question in the Dubai race, Mub had run 1:39.61
> which puts him probably 12-15 lengths off a
> \"normal Derby run mile.\"
>
> I can give you the difference in fractions or tell
> you how to convert from meters to yards or yards
> to meters. If anyone is interested I can explain
> the difference in the Meydan course and CD in
> terms of run to the turn, lengths of stretch, % of
> banking on turns and straightaway, etc.
>
> I\'ll put a noise sheet out detailing the last 10
> Derby mile splits. Other than Bode and High Fly
> the mile time hasn\'t been that much different from
> one year to the other.
>
>
> Of the last 10 Derby\'s, the winner of the race, at
> the mile marker, has been anywhere from Big Brown
> on the lead, to Mine that Bird who was 8 lengths
> off.
>
> Good luck
Curious if you were able to calculate his closing time/fractions. If so, I\'d love to know what it was. Thanks.
12
Ask the Experts / Re: Visual Handicapping
« on: April 26, 2015, 10:24:25 PM »
It did look like he was shot out of a cannon, but Dortmund coming back on firing line after it looked like he was cooked was the most visually impressive race to me.
13
Ask the Experts / AP protective plate
« on: April 25, 2015, 02:38:03 PM »
AMERICAN PHAROAH has been racing and training with a plate covering part of the sole of his left front foot, and trainer Bob Baffert on Saturday said he would keep that plate in place for the Kentucky Derby next Saturday, in which American Pharoah is expected to be the favorite.
“I was going to take it off to run him, but he’s had it there so long I don’t want to change,” Baffert said Saturday from California. “He’s traveling so well with it.”
“I was going to take it off to run him, but he’s had it there so long I don’t want to change,” Baffert said Saturday from California. “He’s traveling so well with it.”
14
Ask the Experts / Re: when do the derby pre-entries go on sale...thanks...
« on: April 15, 2015, 03:15:14 PM »
I saw somewhere in my twitter timeline that he was given a 4-.
15
Ask the Experts / Re: My Counterfeit Hockey Ticket...
« on: May 22, 2014, 09:44:43 PM »
They had ticket scanners 20 years ago? I didn\'t realize that. Anyway, I had a similar experience about 10 years ago, but we actually made it into the game. A group of us scalped tickets for Reds opening day - a huge deal in Cincinnati. I think we paid $75 a ticket, which in hindsite was maybe a bit low considering they were nice seats. We had no issue getting into the stadium, they just tore our tickets. When we went down to the seats, however, there were people in them. We told them that they were sitting in our seats, and we were told that we were probably the 20th group to come down with that same story. An usher confirmed that we had bought fakes, and told us to just find a seat.
Ultimately, the game got rained out, we walked out of a nearby bar with a case of Guinness, and we had dinner at a Benihana at the same table with the late Harold Dow from 60 Minutes. I\'m pretty sure he would have bought us dinner if my wife hadn\'t said, \"Hey - aren\'t you Wesley Snipes?\" Oh, the good old days...
Ultimately, the game got rained out, we walked out of a nearby bar with a case of Guinness, and we had dinner at a Benihana at the same table with the late Harold Dow from 60 Minutes. I\'m pretty sure he would have bought us dinner if my wife hadn\'t said, \"Hey - aren\'t you Wesley Snipes?\" Oh, the good old days...