I think maybe Dance City could be a great bet in the Preakness

[covelj70]

I don\'t know all of the sheet numbers yet for the race but I know that the first two finishers in his last race ran very very fast (for this crop) and he finished 3rd so his number can\'t be too bad compared to the others coming into this thing.

A few other things to consider:

1) he should have had plenty of time to get over what was presumably a big jump up on his figure

2) he\'s a May foal I believe so he has every right to be doing alot of improving this time of the year

3) he was the only speed to stick around in the Arkansas Derby as the other speed all spit up the bit and two closers finished first and second

4) I know JB won\'t like this one but the Arkansas Derby is coming back as a key race with Nehro running big in the Derby and the 5th place finisher coming back to win the Peter Pan.

If this guy is really 15-1 like the current odds are suggesting (I doubt it), I think it\'s an \"all in\" situation for me unless you guys can talk me off the ledge?

[big18741]

I was hoping someone would talk me off the ledge.

Hopefully TAP figured out the gate issues in the weeks since the Oaklawn race.Double digits is asking a lot given those connections and that horse has some buzz.Nehro running would help with the price.

[mikemca]

I am a fan of his also.Mentioned it in the Santiva thread.With Animal Kingdom, Dialed In, MMM, and possibly Nehro we have to get a price I would think.

[phil23]

Here\'s an interesting question.  Who goes off at higher odds - Dance City or Shackleford?  On the one hand, the former has the connections, prob a decent last number, and the rest.  On the other Shackleford ran quite decently in the Derby, didn\'t blow up number wise, and did have a huge public win in the Fla D.

Right now I\'m leaning to SHAQ 10:1 and DC 11:1, but I can be convinced otherwise.

[big18741]

I really like him but I have a feeling Dance City is the wiseguy horse on Saturday.

Shack goes off longer IMO.

I think out of the new horses Astrology would offer the most value.Difficult to predict off odds(how could Pants on Fire be 8-1 in the Derby?)but I think he could get lost in the shuffle.I would expect a new top third off the bench for Asmussen and this horse has some tactical speed to get position.

[Bigredgoer]

According to reports, he worked very well @CD this morning..anyone have an eye at the track for the work?

[hotspringskid]

I\'ll wait till the \"horse whisperer\" lets us know Dance City\'s emotional state of mind before I voice my opinion.

[mjellish]

I heard he outworked his workmate pretty easily and looked decent doing it, but not as good as Sway Away the other day.

[Flighted Iron]

Speaking of SA,aside from his steady diet of good works,his performance in the
AK derby convinced me of a few things.

1.Slamming one\'s mouth into a metal object so hard as to knock a tooth out definitely affects performance(see drf for Rebel excuse or Randy Couture taking a front snap kick)

2.He\'s still very green and will need to relax to navigate the distance.Someone
mentioned he looks more like a closing sprinter.They may be correct,but at 20/1
ML I\'ll gamble.

3.Switch from P Val to Gomez is probably a benefit.

[alm]

Why would you want to take any price at all on a horse that hung the way that POS did at Oaklawn?  You can work bullets with any decent horse, but getting them to run distances such as this is a different matter.  Also, please tell me the last time Jeff Bonde won on the East Coast?

Ever?

He doesn\'t have the horseflesh in his barn...look to Asmussen, Pletcher or stick with Motion.  You might cash a ticket.

[jbelfior]

Big:

Astrology is a nice horse who was uncomfortable down inside in his last and still managed to run 2nd.
Not sure how he will do stretching to a 1 3/16 in what figures to be a pace that\'s 1-2 seconds faster to the half and 3/4 than it was in the Derby.

They\'re going to be coming late in this one.

Good Luck,
Joe B.

[shanahan]

when did Alaska get a Derby?

[Flighted Iron]

Also, please tell me the last time Jeff Bonde won on the East Coast?

Who mentioned betting on the horse to win? Considering the exotic nature of this
game I\'m sure you\'ll probably figure it out.

I\'m not so sure he hung.I don\'t believe he got much from the Rebel,he\'s lightly raced and runs greenly,was 5w/5w and probably just ran out of gas.He has competitve figs and has been training forwardly.I hope I covered everything?Wait!
I do know of a horse who started his career 8 for 8 and never worked a bullet during that time frame.Btw,by POS you do mean piece of #@!% ? I\'ve had trouble with abbr. as of late.

I\'d say good luck,but considering your references
it sounds like you don\'t need it.

[alm]

I understand now you are considering putting this one on some vertical tickets, but that\'s all I understand from your post.

You question whether he hung in Oaklawn, but then describe as his excuse in the Ark Derby what I always understood hanging to mean.

Is your point about the good horse who worked slowly a contradiction or validation of your comment about this one working well?  I don\'t get it.

Finally, what do you mean by my references?  For sure I need all the luck I can get...if I bet this horse I would need a lot more.

[P-Dub]

hotspringskid Wrote:
-------------------------------------------------------
> I\'ll wait till the \"horse whisperer\" lets us know
> Dance City\'s emotional state of mind before I
> voice my opinion.


You mean the guy that gave a big push to the 20-1 winner??  Good idea.