Can Pioneer of the Nile Do It?

[pizzalove]

Jimbo,

My mistake.  I meant to say his Beyers are too slow to contend here.  it is also my belief that quite often you can bet horses moving to synth from dirt even with very poor dirt form.  But to me the reverse is far less likely.  POTN does much worse than even Col John did and finishes 15th.  I know a couple horses this year on the Derby trail have improved form on dirt.  But not likely to happen again especially when you have run so many races on one surface.  Col John also was all the rage during workouts.

[TreadHead]

Not sure if this will end up being significant or not, but since it has not been mentioned yet, last years horses coming from SA were going cushion to dirt and this year it is an entirely different synthetic surface.  Maybe it makes a didfference, maybe not.  This, in addition to the running styles of Col. John and POTN, makes it dangerous IMO to compare POTN to Col. John, but this isn\'t to say the same result may not be possible.