Assuming no surprises next week with American Pharaoh as impressive as Dortmund to go with no surprises this week and the 2015 Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs (YUMS) has this vertical player some what depressed.
I glanced back at the 2000 running this classic when Fusaichi Pegasus proved the betting public astute by winning @ 2.30/1. Aptitude (a nice colt) ran second @ just about 12/1. Impeachment (part of a three horse entry which also included Trippi and Commendable) ran 3rd @ 6/1. That $2.00 trifecta paid $435 with a trifecta pool of 13 million.
Back in those ancient times there were only fourteen betting interests, including a second entry (this one from Godolphin) and a three horse field group. Neither took too much money and each went off at about 20/1 and out of the super.
There were some colts that year that are getting more ink today than they did then e.g., More Than Ready (4th), War Chant (9th), Exchange Rate, High Yield, Graeme Hall, Hal\'s Hope, Captain Steve (all up the track that day).
So I\'m thinking dreaming, as long as BB doesn\'t put two in the trifecta or win a similar price may be possible. Several fast horses are going to be 10-15/1. By the way the $2.00 exacta in 2000 was $66. Certainly these are meager prices compared to what we\'ve become accustomed to in recent history and beating Baffert will perpetuate that from which dreams are made.
If by some fluke of fate BB couples two or all three of his we may have a negative show pool which couldn\'t happen to a greater organization than CDI.
This is of course pure conjecture and subjective with a month of happenstance still to persevere. That\'s a lot of time to convince ourselves that the California Horses are not really that fast (despite Lord Nelson\'s quirky performance) and Baffert won\'t win. Starting Monday after an Easter Sunday with family, food and loved ones!
